| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $3 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 14 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$1 −21% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 9 | 58¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$4 −80% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 34 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 27 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 135 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Melania" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "No No No" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 416 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 375 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 146 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 109 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 30, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 148 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4,113 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - January 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 75 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - January 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |