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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 63¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +53% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | Yes | 7 | 36¢ → 26¢ | $2 | −$1 −29% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 88¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$6 −90% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$1 −67% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Ends in 99d | Yes | 45 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −94% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.