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Polymarket wallet 0x515c4392d5647e5f7fccc3eef9a59239e244fd9d · on Polymarket since Nov 2, 2024 · also shown as Friendly-Kingfish
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 52 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $51 | +$0 +0.7% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $12 | +$1 +5.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$1 +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 100¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.