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Polymarket wallet 0x985aa5d876df4f127804e608fa8c1d0705149d00 · on Polymarket since Dec 13, 2025 · also shown as Natural-Perch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 72¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$7 −95% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 214 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.