| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 4,111 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $18 | +$5 +33% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 162d | Yes | 142 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$1 −16% |
| Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 993 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | +$5 +556% |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 404 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | +$5 +1350% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ends in 71d | No | 5 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$0 +13% |
| Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Ends in 72d | Yes | 114 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $4 | +$3 +311% |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 71d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $4 | +$3 +270% |
| Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Ends in 437d | Yes | 98 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $3 | +$2 +220% |
| Will petal (Ariana Grande) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 109d | Yes | 258 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $3 | +$3 +1000% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Ends in 72d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $3 | +$2 +170% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 72d | Yes | 7 | 30¢ → 36¢ | $2 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6 | 29¢ → 40¢ | $2 | +$1 +36% |
| Will The Life of a Showgirl (Taylor Swift) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 109d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$1 +105% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Ends in 76d | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$0 −13% |
| Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 23 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.5% |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $1 | +$0 +34% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $1 | +$0 +36% |
| Will Lady Gaga be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 103d | Yes | 1,344 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $1 | +$0 +29% |
| Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 35 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.8% |
| Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 162d | Yes | 28 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −44% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 71d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 7 | 5¢ → 11¢ | $1 | +$0 +110% |
| Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?Ends in 72d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −46% |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,200 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −73% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$1 −67% |
| Will Iceman (Drake) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 253d | Yes | 365 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | +$0 +50% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $700B on October 31?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$0 −50% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will The Romantic (Bruno Mars) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 109d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −95% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Ends in 437d | Yes | 25 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −99% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Airbnb say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Procter & Gamble say "Profit" 10+ times during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 833 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will MrBeast say "Wife" during his next YouTube video?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump or Melania say "Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency" during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.10 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Amazon say "Iran" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will AMD say "Pipeline" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Airbnb say "Vacation" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Stupid Question" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.3% or more in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 389 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Neurocrine" during healthcare affordability announcement?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Disney say "Valuation" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Amazon say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Apple say "iPhone 18" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |