| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 60 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 66 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 4, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 43 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 42 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 121 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 94 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 184 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 180 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 27 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 96 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| 2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 32 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Nuggets vs. HornetsSettled - ready to redeem | Hornets | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 102 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 1 above $90?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 83 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Grok 4.20 released by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Lakers vs. CelticsSettled - ready to redeem | Lakers | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 314 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| 2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Maduro out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 144 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 345 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 266 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 88 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
