| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | No | 18 | 10¢ → 35¢ | $6 | +$5 +250% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 115 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $5 | +$3 +118% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19 | 6¢ → 23¢ | $4 | +$3 +269% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 11 | 10¢ → 37¢ | $4 | +$3 +270% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 8 | 15¢ → 49¢ | $4 | +$3 +227% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 13 | 9¢ → 28¢ | $4 | +$2 +206% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 7 | 17¢ → 51¢ | $4 | +$2 +204% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 5 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 18¢ → 46¢ | $3 | +$2 +158% |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 18 | 6¢ → 17¢ | $3 | +$2 +185% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 45¢ | $3 | +$2 +142% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 66¢ | $3 | +$2 +134% |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Ends in 159d | No | 5 | 23¢ → 53¢ | $3 | +$2 +130% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 16 | 7¢ → 17¢ | $3 | +$2 +143% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 17 | 7¢ → 15¢ | $3 | +$1 +121% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 4 | 69¢ → 65¢ | $2 | −$0 −5.8% |
| Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?Ends in 1d | No | 3 | 61¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$1 +52% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 24?Ends in 7h | Yes | 3 | 43¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$1 +117% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 300,000 and 325,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 17¢ | $2 | +$1 +138% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 7 | 18¢ → 34¢ | $2 | +$1 +84% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 19¢ | $2 | +$1 +111% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 22 | 9¢ → 11¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 65¢ | $2 | +$1 +79% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 18¢ | $2 | +$1 +100% |
| Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 217d | Yes | 40 | 14¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$3 −61% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 54¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$1 +73% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 14 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 82¢ | $2 | +$1 +70% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.11% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 2 | 52¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$1 +84% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 3 | 75¢ → 68¢ | $2 | −$0 −9.4% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 40 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$1 +72% |
| Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?Ends in 6d | No | 2 | 59¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$1 +60% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11 | 11¢ → 18¢ | $2 | +$1 +57% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 11 | 11¢ → 17¢ | $2 | +$1 +55% |
| Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $360M?Ends in 39d | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 77¢ | $2 | +$1 +54% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 72¢ | $2 | +$1 +50% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 47¢ → 71¢ | $2 | +$1 +51% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 33 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$1 +50% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 2 | 64¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$1 +51% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 7 | 16¢ → 24¢ | $2 | +$1 +47% |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 7 | 16¢ → 26¢ | $2 | +$1 +59% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 12¢ → 18¢ | $2 | +$1 +46% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8 | 15¢ → 23¢ | $2 | +$1 +53% |
| Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3?Ends in 39d | Yes | 2 | 56¢ → 82¢ | $2 | +$1 +46% |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2 | 60¢ → 86¢ | $2 | +$1 +43% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 57¢ | $2 | +$1 +55% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 22 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $2 | +$1 +55% |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2 | 59¢ → 84¢ | $2 | +$0 +42% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2 | 58¢ → 81¢ | $2 | +$0 +39% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 600,000 and 650,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 7 | 18¢ → 25¢ | $2 | +$0 +36% |
| Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above $440M?Ends in 39d | No | 2 | 67¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$0 +37% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 25¢ | $2 | +$1 +47% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$1 −33% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,500,000 and 8,750,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19 | 6¢ → 8¢ | $2 | +$0 +46% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8 | 15¢ → 20¢ | $2 | +$0 +30% |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | Yes | 10 | 12¢ → 16¢ | $2 | +$0 +33% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 2 | 67¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +43% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 24?Ends in 7h | No | 2 | 52¢ → 73¢ | $2 | +$0 +40% |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 65¢ → 84¢ | $2 | +$0 +28% |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 2 | 53¢ → 68¢ | $2 | +$0 +28% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 6 | 19¢ → 24¢ | $2 | +$0 +26% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 59¢ → 73¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 2 | 56¢ → 69¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 44 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 159d | No | 2 | 66¢ → 80¢ | $1 | +$0 +21% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 66¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 159d | No | 1 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 15 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 16 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $1 | +$0 +29% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be below 0%?Ends in 40d | No | 2 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 2 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 25?Ends in 1d | Yes | 3 | 39¢ → 49¢ | $1 | +$0 +24% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 18 | 6¢ → 8¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 2 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $48B?Ends in 60d | No | 2 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.3% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | No | 4 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 2 | 54¢ → 59¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.3% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 1 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.2% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 54¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.0% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 1 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 18¢ → 25¢ | $1 | +$0 +36% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Meta have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.6% |
| Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 106d | Yes | 22 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Ends in 234d | No | 1 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.65B?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2 | 69¢ → 71¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 57¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?Ends in 1d | Yes | 3 | 45¢ → 46¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 1 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
