| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 3,547 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $3,245 | +$250 +8.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,000 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,911 | +$91 +5.0% |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 1,096 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1,081 | +$45 +4.3% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 665 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $608 | +$30 +5.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 219 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $189 | −$4 −1.8% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 121 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $113 | +$4 +3.9% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 99 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $95 | +$18 +23% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 94 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $86 | +$3 +4.0% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 88 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $86 | +$12 +16% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 53 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $47 | +$3 +7.9% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,100 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $45 | −$36 −45% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 44 | 41¢ → 97¢ | $43 | +$25 +136% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Ends in 99d | No | 43 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $42 | +$6 +16% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 43 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $40 | +$2 +5.6% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $34 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 77¢ → 86¢ | $33 | +$3 +11% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 103 | 21¢ → 25¢ | $25 | +$4 +19% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 33 | 84¢ → 70¢ | $23 | −$5 −17% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 39 | 67¢ → 59¢ | $23 | −$3 −13% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 45 | 69¢ → 35¢ | $16 | −$15 −49% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 44 | 67¢ → 24¢ | $11 | −$19 −65% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 88 | 62¢ → 9¢ | $7 | −$47 −86% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 10 | 64¢ → 72¢ | $7 | +$1 +13% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 166 | 79¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$126 −96% |
| Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.8% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 6 | 70¢ → 43¢ | $3 | −$2 −39% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 22 | 18¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$2 −57% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 40 | 31¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$11 −88% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 80¢ → 60¢ | $1 | −$1 −26% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 8 | 19¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$1 −39% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 32 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −65% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 32¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$1 −73% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Team Spirit | 200 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$112 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 35 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Settled - ready to redeem | Sinners | 255 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$128 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | OG | 330 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 136 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$104 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Anyone's Legend | 51 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,757 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,241 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 68 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Veteran" during his remarks in Arlington?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 129 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$111 −100% |
| Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 306 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$277 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 176 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$172 −100% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit TigersSettled - ready to redeem | Detroit Tigers | 8 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | HANJIN BRION | 42 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Honor" during Tele-Rally?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 115 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Natus Vincere | 607 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Anyone's Legend | 30 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Settled - ready to redeem | Liquid | 240 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 116 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Team Falcons | 1,306 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$646 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Settled - ready to redeem | M80 | 314 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$129 −100% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 124 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$123 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Settled - ready to redeem | FlyQuest | 284 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$147 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 91 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Sentinels | 608 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 268 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 70 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 53 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during remarks in Georgia?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 104 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 30 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 40 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | HANJIN BRION | 632 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$177 −100% |
| Will Klarna say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
