| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 1,256 | 76¢ → 99¢ | $1,249 | +$293 +31% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 391 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $362 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 120 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $116 | +$4 +3.9% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 120 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $116 | +$16 +16% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 990 | 58¢ → 12¢ | $114 | −$457 −80% |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 107 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $102 | +$5 +4.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 36d | Yes | 90 | 53¢ → 70¢ | $63 | +$15 +33% |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 54d | No | 70 | 62¢ → 78¢ | $54 | +$11 +24% |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Ends in 158d | Yes | 69 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $48 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 52 | 65¢ → 90¢ | $47 | +$13 +39% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 60 | 58¢ → 78¢ | $46 | +$12 +34% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $44 | +$6 +17% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$6 +20% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $35 | −$1 −2.0% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 73¢ → 85¢ | $34 | +$5 +16% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | Yes | 40 | 66¢ → 59¢ | $23 | −$3 −12% |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 24 | 67¢ → 86¢ | $21 | +$5 +28% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 133 | 33¢ → 15¢ | $20 | −$24 −55% |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 54d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$1 +8.0% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 20 | 54¢ → 75¢ | $15 | +$4 +39% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 15 | 66¢ → 92¢ | $14 | +$4 +39% |
| Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Ends in 41d | Yes | 20 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $13 | −$1 −9.7% |
| Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 67d | Yes | 150 | 1¢ → 8¢ | $12 | +$10 +600% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 60 | 10¢ → 17¢ | $10 | +$4 +65% |
| Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 44¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$5 +110% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 10 | 31¢ → 69¢ | $7 | +$4 +123% |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 35¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$1 −7.2% |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 60 | 7¢ → 11¢ | $6 | +$2 +50% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 15¢ | $6 | −$4 −39% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 29d | No | 10 | 50¢ → 61¢ | $6 | +$1 +21% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 104 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$5 −46% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in China by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 5 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 10 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 10 | 34¢ → 43¢ | $4 | +$1 +26% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 15 | 20¢ → 27¢ | $4 | +$1 +31% |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 5 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $4 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 40 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $4 | −$2 −39% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 50 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$5 −59% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 56¢ → 35¢ | $3 | −$2 −38% |
| Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?Ends in 158d | Yes | 5 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $3 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 30 | 25¢ → 12¢ | $3 | −$4 −54% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 40 | 41¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$13 −79% |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 54d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $3 | +$2 +240% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 10 | 38¢ → 24¢ | $2 | −$1 −38% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 45d | No | 10 | 30¢ → 24¢ | $2 | −$1 −22% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 40 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$3 −58% |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$8 −79% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $2 | +$1 +67% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 20 | 20¢ → 10¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 19¢ | $2 | +$1 +42% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 240 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$9 −85% |
| Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 250 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$0 +53% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 17 | 31¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$4 −81% |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 54d | Yes | 20 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$1 −37% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −10% |
| Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +183% |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −10% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 180 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 149 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 230 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 290 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 268 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Panama concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Sweden concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 149 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$81 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
