| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 17 | 40¢ → 89¢ | $15 | +$8 +123% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 15 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $12 | −$0 −3.4% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.7% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 10 | 43¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$5 +109% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 33¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$5 +152% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 51¢ → 68¢ | $7 | +$2 +32% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 80¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$1 +24% |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7h | Yes | 5 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +10% |
| Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 5 | 73¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +31% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 158d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 5 | 71¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$1 +33% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.9% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 98d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 71¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$1 +26% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 1d | No | 5 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 5 | 71¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$1 +23% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 5 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Ends in 7h | Yes | 5 | 59¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$1 +44% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $4 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 5 | 66¢ → 83¢ | $4 | +$1 +26% |
| Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7h | Yes | 5 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $4 | +$1 +20% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 75¢ → 81¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 80¢ | $4 | −$0 −10% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 80¢ | $4 | −$0 −11% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 69¢ → 78¢ | $4 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 54¢ → 76¢ | $4 | +$1 +41% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 65¢ → 76¢ | $4 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 65¢ → 75¢ | $4 | +$0 +15% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 128d | Yes | 4 | 72¢ → 83¢ | $4 | +$0 +15% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 35¢ | $4 | −$0 −10% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 48¢ → 64¢ | $3 | +$1 +32% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 72¢ → 94¢ | $3 | +$1 +29% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 75¢ → 62¢ | $3 | −$1 −18% |
| Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Ends in 7h | Yes | 5 | 65¢ → 56¢ | $3 | −$0 −13% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 48¢ → 49¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 37¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$1 +155% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 70¢ → 34¢ | $2 | −$2 −52% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 22¢ → 16¢ | $2 | −$1 −27% |
| Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 67d | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| Will Jozef Králik win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Ends in 7h | Yes | 25 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$2 −59% |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$1 −46% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$3 −66% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 26¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$2 −63% |
| Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7h | No | 5 | 42¢ → 27¢ | $1 | −$1 −37% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 47¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$8 −88% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 38¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$1 +139% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 1 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 68¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$6 −87% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 56¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$2 −69% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$1 −66% |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$3 −82% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 40¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$5 −90% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 45¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$2 −74% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 4 | 30¢ → 11¢ | $0 | −$1 −65% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 5 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 15 | 30¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazSettled - ready to redeem | Carlos Alcaraz | 10 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 320k and 360k?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 4 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Executive Order signing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US Open WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Elena RybakinaSettled - ready to redeem | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during Fox News: My View appearance?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
