| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 1d | No | 44 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $43 | +$4 +11% |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 83 | 60¢ → 45¢ | $37 | −$13 −25% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 49 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $37 | −$2 −4.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $36 | −$0 −0.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 42 | 69¢ → 78¢ | $33 | +$4 +13% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 44 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $29 | +$1 +3.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 25 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $25 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 25 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $23 | +$3 +17% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $23 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 30 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $23 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 24 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $21 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 25 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $21 | −$0 −0.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 26¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$14 +278% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 25 | 58¢ → 78¢ | $20 | +$5 +34% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 25 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $19 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 19 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $19 | +$2 +9.3% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 25 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 25 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $19 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 63¢ → 74¢ | $18 | +$3 +17% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 19 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $18 | +$3 +23% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 18 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.1% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Ends in 8h | No | 25 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 25 | 58¢ → 71¢ | $18 | +$3 +21% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 69d | No | 21 | 69¢ → 84¢ | $18 | +$3 +21% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 25 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $17 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 25 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $17 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 19 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $17 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Ends in 36d | Yes | 24 | 64¢ → 71¢ | $17 | +$1 +9.6% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 1d | No | 17 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $17 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 24 | 51¢ → 68¢ | $16 | +$4 +32% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $16 | +$1 +4.6% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 21 | 66¢ → 76¢ | $16 | +$2 +14% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 16 | 16¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$13 +507% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 25 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $15 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5Ends in 8h | No | 19 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $15 | +$2 +15% |
| Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?Ends ended | No | 15 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Valerie Morrison win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 1d | No | 15 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $15 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Kaden Mann win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 1d | No | 15 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $15 | +$1 +8.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 22 | 58¢ → 68¢ | $15 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Bryan Fockler win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 1d | No | 15 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $15 | +$1 +9.8% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Ends in 8h | No | 22 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 21 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $14 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $14 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 25?Ends in 2d | No | 15 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $14 | +$1 +5.6% |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 16 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $14 | +$1 +9.1% |
| Will John Atoyebi win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 1d | No | 14 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $14 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 15 | 96¢ → 93¢ | $14 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 90¢ → 81¢ | $14 | −$2 −10% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 15 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $13 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 23 | 70¢ → 57¢ | $13 | −$3 −18% |
| Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 17 | 73¢ → 78¢ | $13 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 55d | No | 15 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $13 | +$2 +15% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 23 | 56¢ → 57¢ | $13 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 13 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the New York Knicks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 204d | Yes | 15 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $13 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Ends in 433d | Yes | 23 | 63¢ → 56¢ | $13 | −$2 −12% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 17 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 17 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $12 | +$1 +5.4% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 16 | 15¢ → 76¢ | $12 | +$10 +414% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?Ends in 250d | No | 17 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $12 | +$1 +5.1% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 18 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 15 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $12 | −$1 −5.3% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 17 | 80¢ → 70¢ | $12 | −$2 −12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 12 | 15¢ → 99¢ | $12 | +$10 +559% |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 13 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $12 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 25 | 26¢ → 47¢ | $12 | +$5 +81% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.9% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $12 | +$1 +9.2% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 50¢ → 68¢ | $12 | +$3 +36% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5Ends in 8h | No | 16 | 55¢ → 72¢ | $12 | +$3 +31% |
| Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Ends in 75d | Yes | 16 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 12 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $11 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 42¢ → 62¢ | $11 | +$4 +50% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?Ends in 18d | Yes | 12 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d | Yes | 12 | 37¢ → 86¢ | $10 | +$6 +133% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 12d | Yes | 25 | 37¢ → 41¢ | $10 | +$1 +9.7% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 15 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 13 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 16d | No | 24 | 42¢ → 41¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 204d | No | 17 | 53¢ → 57¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +23% |
| Will Puka Nacua have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 12 | 70¢ → 80¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 12 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 17 | 33¢ → 55¢ | $9 | +$4 +65% |
| Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 15 | 73¢ → 61¢ | $9 | −$2 −16% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 17 | 52¢ → 54¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will Meta have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 9 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Qwen have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 9 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Ryan Peterson win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 11 | 50¢ → 80¢ | $9 | +$3 +60% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 50%-55%?Ends in 11d | No | 9 | >99¢ → 96¢ | $9 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 11d | No | 9 | 98¢ → 93¢ | $8 | −$0 −4.7% |
| Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 9 | 95¢ → 92¢ | $8 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 22 | 36¢ → 34¢ | $7 | −$1 −6.9% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 23 | 28¢ → 30¢ | $7 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | Yes | 21 | 36¢ → 32¢ | $7 | −$1 −9.9% |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Ends in 37d | Yes | 18 | 56¢ → 38¢ | $7 | −$3 −33% |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?Ends in 60d | Yes | 18 | 54¢ → 38¢ | $7 | −$3 −31% |
