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Polymarket wallet 0xa59421ad6b5e793f759f978da09f184c18d395f6 · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026 · also shown as Exemplary-Hypothermia
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| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Nigeria vs Mozambique AND Zimbabwe Women Tour of India ODIs: India Women vs Zimbabwe Women AND ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Gambia vs Uganda AND Afghanistan U19 vs Bangladesh U19 Youth ODIs in Oman: Afghanistan Under-19s vs Bangladesh Under-19s | Buy55¢ | $0 |
| 1d | India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India AND Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland | Buy38¢ | $0 |
| 1d | ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Nigeria vs Mozambique AND Zimbabwe Women Tour of India ODIs: India Women vs Zimbabwe Women | Buy90¢ | $0 |
| 1d | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 1d | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 1d | Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 1d | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BuyYes86¢ | $2 |
| 1d | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BuyNo95¢ | $1 |
| 1d | France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? | SellYes10¢ | $1 |
| 1d | France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
| 1d | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SellNo96¢ | $1 |
| 1d | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SellNo96¢ | $4 |
| 1d | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BuyNo97¢ | $5 |
| 1d | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SellNo96¢ | $1 |
| 1d | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 1d | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SellYes2¢ | $1 |
| 1d | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 15d | Indiana vs. Nebraska AND North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh AND UCF vs. Oklahoma State AND Houston vs. Kansas State AND Texas vs. Oklahoma AND Texas A&M vs. Missouri | Buy8¢ | $0 |
| 15d | USC vs. Penn State AND UCLA vs. Oregon AND Wyoming vs. San Jose State | Buy7¢ | $0 |
| 15d | Spread: Pittsburgh (-3.5) AND Spread: Missouri (-3.5) AND Spread: Indiana (-7.5) AND Spread: Oklahoma State (-10.5) | Buy7¢ | $0 |
| 15d | UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) | Buy6¢ | $0 |
| 15d | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes86¢ | $1 |
| 15d | Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 15d | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BuyYes99¢ | $1 |
| 37d | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 37d | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 37d | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 38d | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 38d | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 38d | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 38d | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 38d | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BuyNo30¢ | $24 |
| 38d | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 38d | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BuyNo30¢ | $0 |
| 38d | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BuyNo31¢ | $46 |
| 47d | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SellNo89¢ | $211 |
| 47d | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BuyYes88¢ | $1 |
| 47d | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2 |
| 47d | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 47d | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 47d | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BuyNo100¢ | $2 |
| 62d | Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 62d | Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 62d | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $1 |
| 73d | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 73d | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes80¢ | $1 |
| 73d | Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.5 AND Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5 AND New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever | Buy28¢ | $0 |
| 73d | Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks AND Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces AND Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire AND Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries AND Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun AND Toronto Tempo vs. Dallas Wings | Buy18¢ | $0 |
| 73d | Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks AND Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces AND New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever | Buy19¢ | $0 |
| 73d | Lions vs. Bengals AND Buccaneers vs. Jets | Buy53¢ | $0 |
| 73d | LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stage AND LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season | Buy88¢ | $0 |
| 73d | Valorant: MYVRA GC vs FUSION X (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Main Event Playoffs AND LoL: Barcząca Esports vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season AND Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP (BO5) - Asgard Championship Playoffs | Buy77¢ | $0 |
| 73d | Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Buy56¢ | $0 |
| 73d | Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Buy49¢ | $0 |
| 73d | Map Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Mindfreak (+1.5) AND Map Handicap: VP.P (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5) AND Map Handicap: FaZe UN (-1.5) vs B8 Academy (+1.5) | Buy73¢ | $0 |
| 73d | Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5) AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND Counter-Strike: Arch vs Dark Moon (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season | Buy53¢ | $0 |
| 73d | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B AND Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A AND Counter-Strike: Spirit vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A AND Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A AND Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A AND Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Passion Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B | Buy14¢ | $0 |
| 73d | Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs B8 Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A AND Counter-Strike: Spirit vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A AND Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A AND Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Passion Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B | Buy21¢ | $0 |
| 84d | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $1 |
| 84d | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.