| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 250 | 53¢ → 51¢ | $126 | −$6 −4.7% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 1d | No | 155 | 71¢ → 68¢ | $106 | −$5 −4.2% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 68d | Yes | 76 | 2¢ → 70¢ | $53 | +$52 +3470% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Ends in 233d | No | 291 | 18¢ → 17¢ | $48 | −$4 −8.3% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 97 | 52¢ → 38¢ | $37 | −$13 −26% |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 6d | No | 53 | 79¢ → 62¢ | $33 | −$9 −22% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 67 | 46¢ → 44¢ | $29 | −$2 −5.4% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 21 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $17 | −$1 −3.5% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 30 | 64¢ → 47¢ | $14 | −$5 −28% |
| Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 233d | Yes | 164 | 2¢ → 6¢ | $10 | +$8 +309% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16,084 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$173 −96% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 15,829 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$170 −96% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 15,317 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$164 −96% |
| Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 21 | 11¢ → 28¢ | $6 | +$4 +152% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 51 | 1¢ → 11¢ | $5 | +$5 +1244% |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 9,750 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$105 −96% |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 8,188 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$88 −96% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 101 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $4 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $3 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 73 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $3 | +$1 +38% |
| Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 21 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $3 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 11h | Yes | 5,045 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$134 −98% |
| Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 11h | Yes | 4,998 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$133 −98% |
| Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 11h | Yes | 4,992 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$132 −98% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,614 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$16 −87% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 4 | 59¢ → 66¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 11h | Yes | 4,701 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$125 −98% |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +20% |
| Will William Saliba finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 68d | Yes | 462 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$7 −74% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +18% |
| Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 11h | Yes | 4,517 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$120 −98% |
| Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 11h | Yes | 4,504 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$119 −98% |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 11h | Yes | 4,504 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$119 −98% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 1,470 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$54 −96% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 101 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$1 −35% |
| Will Oklahoma State win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?Ends in 177d | Yes | 7 | 1¢ → 29¢ | $2 | +$2 +3362% |
| Will Natalia Kiselova win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 11h | No | 2 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Dayot Upamecano finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 68d | Yes | 462 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$7 −80% |
| Will TCU win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?Ends in 177d | Yes | 7 | 1¢ → 27¢ | $2 | +$2 +3211% |
| Will Jordan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 104d | Yes | 35 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$0 +35% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 25%-30%?Ends in 10d | No | 2 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $2 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Clarence Thomas be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 21 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$1 −32% |
| Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 340 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$9 −85% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Bytedance be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 102 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −51% |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2,788 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$86 −98% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2,788 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$86 −98% |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2,788 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$86 −98% |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2,775 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$85 −98% |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 340 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$9 −87% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 4 | 39¢ → 33¢ | $1 | −$0 −16% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2,681 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$82 −98% |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2,634 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$81 −98% |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2,634 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$81 −98% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2,634 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$81 −98% |
| Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | Yes | 2,594 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$43 −97% |
| Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | Yes | 2,594 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$43 −97% |
| Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | Yes | 2,594 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$43 −97% |
| Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | Yes | 2,594 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$43 −97% |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 324 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$9 −87% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $1 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 84 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −47% |
| Will Julián Álvarez (Atlético Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 233d | Yes | 825 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$11 −90% |
| Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | Yes | 2,474 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$41 −97% |
| Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | Yes | 2,474 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$41 −97% |
| Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | Yes | 2,474 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$41 −97% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2,431 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$75 −98% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 101 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$2 −66% |
| Will Howard Lutnick be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 21 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| Will Nuno Mendes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 68d | Yes | 462 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$8 −87% |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 68d | Yes | 462 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$8 −87% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?Ends in 10d | No | 1 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | Yes | 2,298 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$38 −97% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 310 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$8 −88% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 310 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$8 −88% |
| Will Mikel Brown Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 188d | Yes | 70 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 233d | Yes | 688 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$9 −90% |
| Will Ante Budimir (Osasuna) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 233d | Yes | 342 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −80% |
| Will Syria win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?Ends in 104d | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −45% |
| Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Ends in 188d | Yes | 70 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 270 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −69% |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 236 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$6 −86% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 236 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$6 −86% |
| Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 1 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.1% |
