| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,471 | 7¢ → 16¢ | $229 | +$124 +118% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,805 | 25¢ → 8¢ | $143 | −$301 −68% |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,855 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $60 | −$19 −24% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 110 | 39¢ → 42¢ | $46 | +$3 +7.7% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 825 | 22¢ → 6¢ | $45 | −$139 −75% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 112 | 28¢ → 33¢ | $36 | +$5 +18% |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 210 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $34 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 129 | 22¢ → 8¢ | $10 | −$18 −63% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 22¢ → 9¢ | $9 | −$13 −60% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 136 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$11 −62% |
| Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,363 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $7 | −$13 −65% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 67d | Yes | 80 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$3 −38% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 67d | Yes | 234 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$8 −67% |
| Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,365 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$6 −59% |
| Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,033 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$2 −31% |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 115 | 18¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$17 −83% |
| Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,231 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$2 −41% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 175 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$4 −60% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 240 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$14 −84% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 200 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$4 −62% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 30 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 80 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$1 −38% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 45 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$3 −57% |
| Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 39 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$1 −41% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $1 | +$0 +46% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 5 | 32¢ → 27¢ | $1 | −$0 −17% |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 15 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$0 −17% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 29 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$4 −80% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 60 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 28¢ → 21¢ | $1 | −$0 −27% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 135 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$6 −86% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 250 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −68% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 250 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$1 −56% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 134 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 60 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$10 −92% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 68d | Yes | 11 | 14¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$1 −53% |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 11 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −66% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 7 | 21¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$1 −55% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 45 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$0 −43% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 80 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$3 −84% |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Ends in 128d | Yes | 360 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −82% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 22¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$1 −61% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −83% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?Ends in 67d | Yes | 30 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −55% |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$1 −53% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 36¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$2 −76% |
| Will Plasma reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$1 −54% |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 13¢ | $0 | −$1 −57% |
| Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −69% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,000 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 67d | Yes | 10 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −31% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 251 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −88% |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −63% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −66% |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −77% |
| Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −79% |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −69% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −69% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −70% |
| Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −70% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 68d | Yes | 53 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −93% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −65% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?Ends in 67d | Yes | 2 | 19¢ → 14¢ | $0 | −$0 −24% |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | Yes | 105 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −87% |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | Yes | 211 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −96% |
| Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 15¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −80% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 135 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −50% |
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −80% |
| Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Ends in 88d | Yes | 4 | 41¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −88% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 68d | Yes | 41 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −95% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 91 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −82% |
| Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −82% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3 | 40¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 55 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −93% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −86% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 250 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −94% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −88% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 68d | Yes | 35 | 12¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −97% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Ends in 128d | Yes | 44 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −95% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Ends in 96d | Yes | 25 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −93% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 91 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −91% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 53 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −92% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Ends in 77d | Yes | 29 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −96% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?Ends in 77d | Yes | 12 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −97% |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −94% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4 | 16¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −92% |
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −95% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −96% |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 63 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −97% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 48 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −98% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Ends in 128d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −99% |
| Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −95% |
