| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8,200 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $6,724 | +$244 +3.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4,000 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $3,500 | +$23 +0.7% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,400 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $2,286 | −$16 −0.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,930 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $1,831 | −$107 −5.5% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,664 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $1,576 | +$81 +5.4% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $925 | +$44 +5.0% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 68d | No | 1,200 | 61¢ → 70¢ | $840 | +$108 +15% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,000 | 65¢ → 78¢ | $775 | +$128 +20% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 760 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $731 | +$12 +1.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 700 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $606 | +$6 +0.9% |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 629 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $577 | +$2 +0.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 540 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $491 | +$34 +7.3% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 615 | 34¢ → 75¢ | $461 | +$252 +121% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $412 | −$4 −0.9% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 402 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $348 | +$0 +0.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,000 | 51¢ → 34¢ | $340 | −$168 −33% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 355 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $324 | +$17 +5.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 550 | 68¢ → 57¢ | $316 | −$56 −15% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 800 | 34¢ → 36¢ | $284 | +$14 +5.3% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 296 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $281 | +$14 +5.1% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 700 | 56¢ → 37¢ | $255 | −$140 −35% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 257 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $238 | −$5 −1.9% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 15,811 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $229 | +$119 +109% |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$2 +1.0% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 70¢ → 94¢ | $188 | +$48 +34% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $185 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$5 +2.8% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $179 | −$1 −0.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 200 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $179 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 194 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $143 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | No | 200 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $141 | −$3 −2.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 63¢ → 68¢ | $135 | +$9 +7.1% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 181 | 64¢ → 74¢ | $133 | +$17 +15% |
| Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $125 | +$12 +10% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 500 | 30¢ → 22¢ | $108 | −$41 −28% |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,685 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $99 | +$26 +35% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 186 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $98 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$2 +1.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$4 +3.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$21 +30% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 63¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$29 +45% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 59¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$33 +55% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 631 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $91 | +$9 +12% |
| Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 70¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$20 +28% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 69¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$21 +30% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 546 | 24¢ → 16¢ | $87 | −$43 −33% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 513 | 32¢ → 17¢ | $87 | −$75 −46% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $87 | +$22 +33% |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$14 +20% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 70¢ → 84¢ | $84 | +$14 +20% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 100 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $84 | +$11 +14% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 49¢ → 83¢ | $83 | +$34 +69% |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $81 | +$11 +16% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 47¢ → 80¢ | $80 | +$32 +68% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 63¢ → 75¢ | $75 | +$12 +19% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 52¢ → 73¢ | $73 | +$21 +40% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 36¢ → 69¢ | $69 | +$33 +92% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 29¢ → 34¢ | $67 | +$10 +17% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 701 | 31¢ → 10¢ | $67 | −$153 −70% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 70 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $65 | +$8 +15% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 49¢ → 65¢ | $64 | +$15 +32% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | No | 345 | 16¢ → 18¢ | $60 | +$6 +11% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 600 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $57 | −$6 −9.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?Ends in 342d | Yes | 87 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $55 | +$0 +0.8% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 15¢ → 28¢ | $55 | +$25 +80% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 102 | 54¢ → 54¢ | $55 | −$0 −0.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 150 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $53 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $51 | +$6 +13% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 58¢ → 51¢ | $51 | −$7 −12% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 52 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $49 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $45 | +$6 +15% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $44 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 400 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $42 | +$1 +1.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 92 | 45¢ → 46¢ | $42 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 66¢ → 69¢ | $41 | +$2 +4.5% |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 48¢ → 41¢ | $41 | −$7 −14% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 100 | 37¢ → 41¢ | $41 | +$4 +11% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 57¢ → 38¢ | $38 | −$19 −33% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 150 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $38 | $0 0.0% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 57¢ → 70¢ | $35 | +$6 +22% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 7d | Yes | 600 | 43¢ → 6¢ | $33 | −$223 −87% |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 35 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $32 | +$4 +14% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 158 | 19¢ → 21¢ | $32 | +$3 +9.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 50 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $30 | +$0 +1.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 30d | Yes | 69 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $27 | +$1 +3.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 20¢ → 7¢ | $26 | −$55 −68% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 60 | 28¢ → 42¢ | $25 | +$8 +51% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $24 | +$2 +9.1% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $24 | −$2 −7.7% |
| Will Trump nationalize elections?Ends in 69d | Yes | 228 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $23 | −$2 −9.2% |
| Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 60¢ → 75¢ | $23 | +$5 +25% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 100 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $21 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 57¢ → 17¢ | $17 | −$40 −70% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 258 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $17 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Ends in 128d | Yes | 250 | 22¢ → 7¢ | $16 | −$38 −70% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 20¢ → 15¢ | $15 | −$5 −26% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → 15¢ | $15 | +$1 +11% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $14 | −$10 −42% |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 13,995 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $14 | −$236 −94% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 600 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$28 −71% |
