| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 87 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $74 | +$4 +5.7% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 66 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $62 | +$3 +5.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 67 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $55 | −$2 −3.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 75 | 40¢ → 66¢ | $50 | +$20 +65% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 56 | 27¢ → 70¢ | $39 | +$24 +160% |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 39 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $37 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 36 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 36 | 68¢ → 94¢ | $34 | +$9 +37% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 91 | 41¢ → 31¢ | $28 | −$10 −26% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | No | 36 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $26 | +$2 +8.9% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 25 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $25 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 26 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $24 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 29 | 71¢ → 83¢ | $24 | +$3 +17% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 30 | 65¢ → 75¢ | $22 | +$3 +14% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 19 | 67¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$6 +44% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 24 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $18 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 23 | 83¢ → 73¢ | $17 | −$2 −12% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 18 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $17 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 25 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 67d | Yes | 40 | 66¢ → 40¢ | $16 | −$11 −40% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 21 | 67¢ → 75¢ | $16 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 16 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 17 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $15 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 16 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 25 | 71¢ → 61¢ | $15 | −$3 −15% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 91¢ → 77¢ | $15 | −$3 −16% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 15 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 17 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 15 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $14 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 9h | Yes | 20 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $14 | +$1 +4.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 16 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $14 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 43 | 37¢ → 31¢ | $13 | −$3 −19% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 15 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $13 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 7d | No | 13 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $12 | +$1 +9.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 15 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $12 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 64 | 24¢ → 18¢ | $11 | −$4 −27% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 16 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 10 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 12 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 45d | Yes | 47 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $10 | −$1 −10% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$2 +29% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 36d | No | 14 | 58¢ → 65¢ | $9 | +$1 +12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 20 | 42¢ → 45¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 0¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$9 +0.0% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 10d | No | 12 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 9 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 11 | 57¢ → 68¢ | $8 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 7 | 53¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$3 +89% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 8 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 9 | 57¢ → 83¢ | $7 | +$2 +45% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 9 | 66¢ → 75¢ | $7 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 59¢ → 62¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 14 | 45¢ → 42¢ | $6 | −$0 −7.3% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 7 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 12 | 40¢ → 45¢ | $5 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 6 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 15 | 29¢ → 34¢ | $5 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Ends in 1d | Yes | 5 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 5 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 5 | 67¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$2 +48% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 6 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 9h | Yes | 5 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.6% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 9h | No | 5 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 64¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$2 +54% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 9h | Yes | 5 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$1 +17% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | No | 11 | 23¢ → 44¢ | $5 | +$2 +89% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.7% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +15% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 9h | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.2% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$1 +12% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 5 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +10% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 2d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 1d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5 | 69¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$1 +35% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $5 | $0 0.0% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 5 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 72¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$1 +27% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Ends in 3d | Yes | 5 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$1 +29% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 7 | 76¢ → 62¢ | $5 | −$1 −18% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 5 | 64¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$1 +43% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 280d | No | 5 | 69¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$1 +31% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.7% |
