| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 112 | 18¢ → 89¢ | $99 | +$79 +384% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 89 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $87 | +$2 +1.9% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 83 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $83 | +$3 +3.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 79 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $76 | +$17 +30% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 86 | 46¢ → 59¢ | $50 | +$11 +27% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 62 | 26¢ → 78¢ | $48 | +$32 +202% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 45 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $44 | +$2 +5.6% |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 38 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $38 | +$2 +5.4% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 76 | 65¢ → 49¢ | $37 | −$12 −24% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 35 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $35 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 42 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $35 | +$2 +6.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 42 | 65¢ → 73¢ | $30 | +$3 +12% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$1 +4.2% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 24 | 96¢ → 91¢ | $22 | −$1 −5.3% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 26 | 90¢ → 82¢ | $21 | −$2 −8.7% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $17 | +$1 +5.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 20 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $17 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 60 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $17 | −$4 −21% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 18 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $16 | +$1 +7.2% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 12 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $12 | +$2 +15% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $11 | +$2 +16% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 12 | 72¢ → 85¢ | $10 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 12 | 76¢ → 85¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 18 | 32¢ → 51¢ | $9 | +$3 +59% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 42 | 24¢ → 18¢ | $7 | −$3 −27% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 61 | 81¢ → 12¢ | $7 | −$43 −86% |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 6 | 66¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$2 +51% |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 6 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 6 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 6 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 6 | 66¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$2 +46% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 6 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 6 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 67¢ → 95¢ | $6 | +$2 +41% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 7 | 54¢ → 78¢ | $6 | +$2 +43% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 6 | 55¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$2 +70% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 6 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 44¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$3 +107% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 6 | 94¢ → 87¢ | $5 | −$0 −7.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 6 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $5 | +$0 +10% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 33 | 23¢ → 15¢ | $5 | −$3 −34% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 24 | 15¢ → 21¢ | $5 | +$1 +37% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 6 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $5 | −$0 −6.4% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11 | 53¢ → 42¢ | $5 | −$1 −22% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 20 | 74¢ → 22¢ | $4 | −$10 −70% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 18 | 51¢ → 23¢ | $4 | −$5 −56% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 6 | 60¢ → 48¢ | $3 | −$1 −20% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 18 | 25¢ → 16¢ | $3 | −$2 −37% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 18 | 23¢ → 15¢ | $3 | −$1 −34% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 6 | 49¢ → 40¢ | $2 | −$1 −19% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 78 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$3 −53% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 12 | 17¢ → 19¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 24 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$1 −41% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 57¢ → 33¢ | $2 | −$1 −42% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 84 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$1 −43% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 51¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$8 −83% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 18¢ | $2 | +$1 +83% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 6 | 13¢ → 20¢ | $1 | +$0 +56% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 26 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $1 | +$1 +79% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 40 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 25¢ → 17¢ | $1 | −$1 −34% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 18 | 37¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$6 −85% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 36 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −62% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 6 | 2¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$1 +520% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 25 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$2 −67% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 12 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 6 | 6¢ → 13¢ | $1 | +$0 +126% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 480 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$3 −79% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$2 −71% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 21¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$1 −55% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 12 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +24% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 6 | 45¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$2 −86% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 12 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +38% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −65% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 73d | OpenAI | 5 | 35¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −30% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 72 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −90% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 6 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −61% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 12 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −22% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −66% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 53¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$3 −95% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −50% |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −28% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −81% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +32% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 6 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −74% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 6 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −90% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −60% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 17¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −82% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −19% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 6 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −75% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −83% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −71% |
