| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 1,136 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $335 | +$6 +1.7% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 949 | 21¢ → 24¢ | $223 | +$22 +11% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 852 | 22¢ → 26¢ | $217 | +$30 +16% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 282 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $202 | −$10 −4.7% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Ends in 250d | Yes | 351 | 32¢ → 45¢ | $158 | +$46 +41% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 445 | 37¢ → 34¢ | $151 | −$14 −8.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | No | 637 | 35¢ → 21¢ | $131 | −$92 −41% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 175 | 47¢ → 56¢ | $97 | +$14 +17% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 302 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $94 | +$3 +3.3% |
| Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 249d | No | 127 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $90 | −$4 −4.1% |
| Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Ends in 234d | No | 177 | 39¢ → 42¢ | $75 | +$5 +7.7% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 2d | Yes | 228 | 54¢ → 33¢ | $74 | −$49 −40% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 135 | 57¢ → 55¢ | $73 | −$3 −4.4% |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 182 | 19¢ → 35¢ | $64 | +$30 +86% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 483 | 22¢ → 13¢ | $63 | −$43 −41% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | Yes | 81 | 42¢ → 74¢ | $60 | +$26 +75% |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 68d | No | 147 | 58¢ → 41¢ | $60 | −$26 −30% |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 203 | 48¢ → 29¢ | $59 | −$39 −40% |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 771 | 68¢ → 8¢ | $58 | −$466 −89% |
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 81 | 69¢ → 71¢ | $57 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 228 | 44¢ → 25¢ | $57 | −$43 −43% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1165d | No | 154 | 44¢ → 37¢ | $56 | −$12 −18% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 45¢ → 55¢ | $55 | +$10 +22% |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 83 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $54 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | No | 79 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $51 | −$2 −3.7% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 95d | Yes | 78 | 50¢ → 57¢ | $44 | +$5 +14% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 177 | 12¢ → 25¢ | $43 | +$22 +104% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 99 | 35¢ → 43¢ | $42 | +$7 +21% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 87 | 67¢ → 48¢ | $41 | −$17 −29% |
| Will Jameson Williams have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | Yes | 100 | 41¢ → 39¢ | $39 | −$3 −6.1% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 321 | 23¢ → 12¢ | $37 | −$37 −50% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 10h | No | 420 | 27¢ → 9¢ | $36 | −$78 −69% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 46 | 77¢ → 71¢ | $33 | −$3 −8.7% |
| Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 45 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $29 | +$2 +6.6% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 48 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $29 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?Ends in 68d | Yes | 140 | 36¢ → 21¢ | $29 | −$22 −43% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 46 | 34¢ → 57¢ | $26 | +$11 +69% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 63 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $22 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?Ends in 100d | Yes | 58 | 48¢ → 38¢ | $22 | −$6 −20% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 380 | 66¢ → 6¢ | $21 | −$230 −92% |
| Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 64¢ → 34¢ | $20 | −$18 −48% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 177 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $19 | −$3 −13% |
| Will AlloX launch a token by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 23 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $18 | +$2 +9.6% |
| Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | No | 31 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $18 | $0 0.0% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 75 | 42¢ → 24¢ | $18 | −$14 −44% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 78 | 32¢ → 23¢ | $18 | −$8 −30% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 30 | 60¢ → 58¢ | $17 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?Ends in 80d | Yes | 40 | 30¢ → 43¢ | $17 | +$5 +43% |
| Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?Ends in 11d | No | 25 | 63¢ → 66¢ | $17 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 39d | Yes | 39 | 20¢ → 42¢ | $16 | +$8 +108% |
| Will Arsenal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?Ends in 176d | No | 25 | 51¢ → 60¢ | $15 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | Yes | 25 | 42¢ → 56¢ | $14 | +$3 +32% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 63 | 28¢ → 22¢ | $14 | −$4 −23% |
| Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?Ends in 261d | Yes | 45 | 41¢ → 29¢ | $13 | −$5 −29% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 577 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $13 | −$32 −71% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?Ends in 127d | Yes | 17 | 60¢ → 75¢ | $13 | +$3 +25% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 85 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $12 | +$4 +52% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 79 | 47¢ → 16¢ | $12 | −$25 −67% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 34 | 42¢ → 36¢ | $12 | −$2 −14% |
| Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | Yes | 21 | 61¢ → 59¢ | $12 | −$1 −4.1% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 46 | 33¢ → 24¢ | $11 | −$4 −27% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 177 | 12¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$12 −58% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 35 | 23¢ → 26¢ | $9 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Ends in 10d | No | 18 | 49¢ → 48¢ | $8 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 16 | 56¢ → 49¢ | $8 | −$1 −13% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 100 | 19¢ → 8¢ | $8 | −$12 −61% |
| Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 434d | Yes | 59 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $7 | −$1 −16% |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 35 | 25¢ → 20¢ | $7 | −$2 −20% |
| Will Trey McBride be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 95d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 33¢ | $7 | −$1 −9.7% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 644 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$47 −88% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 14 | 20¢ → 44¢ | $6 | +$3 +117% |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 19 | 15¢ → 33¢ | $6 | +$3 +114% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤2.5% at the end of 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 35 | 6¢ → 17¢ | $6 | +$4 +185% |
| Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 677 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$51 −90% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 3.00 to 3.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 39d | Yes | 91 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$11 −66% |
| Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 22¢ → 28¢ | $6 | +$1 +27% |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 50 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $6 | −$0 −4.3% |
| Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 98 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$15 −75% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?Ends in 29d | No | 167 | 34¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$51 −91% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | No | 9 | 53¢ → 56¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 35 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 42 | 2¢ → 11¢ | $5 | +$4 +434% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 15¢ → 97¢ | $4 | +$4 +544% |
| Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 234d | Yes | 10 | 48¢ → 44¢ | $4 | −$0 −8.8% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 52¢ → 28¢ | $4 | −$4 −46% |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 65 | 30¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$16 −79% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 62¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$1 +46% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 36¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$4 −51% |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 76¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | No | 5 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $4 | +$0 +13% |
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 68¢ → 56¢ | $4 | −$1 −18% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 20?Ends in 28d | Yes | 25 | 26¢ → 15¢ | $4 | −$3 −42% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → 19¢ | $4 | +$1 +46% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 10h | Yes | 4 | 59¢ → 92¢ | $4 | +$1 +55% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 127 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$3 −48% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 35 | 6¢ → 11¢ | $4 | +$2 +75% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 77¢ → 88¢ | $4 | +$0 +14% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 21 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $4 | −$1 −15% |
| Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 50 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$2 −39% |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 64 | 40¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$22 −87% |
