| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 4,841 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $1,210 | −$69 −5.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 935 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $875 | +$14 +1.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 838 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $824 | +$24 +3.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 849 | 45¢ → 93¢ | $785 | +$405 +107% |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 678 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $634 | +$23 +3.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 530 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $496 | +$51 +11% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 503 | 64¢ → 85¢ | $425 | +$104 +32% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 437 | 52¢ → 85¢ | $371 | +$144 +63% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 395 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $349 | +$49 +16% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 329 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $320 | +$20 +6.5% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 332 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $312 | +$27 +9.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,232 | 19¢ → 14¢ | $301 | −$124 −29% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 334 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $289 | +$19 +7.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 905 | 34¢ → 30¢ | $267 | −$39 −13% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 256 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $234 | +$38 +19% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 222 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $217 | +$17 +8.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 271 | 74¢ → 78¢ | $211 | +$11 +5.7% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 229 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $207 | +$7 +3.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 225 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $203 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,839 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $193 | −$57 −23% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 195 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $167 | +$25 +18% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 256 | 59¢ → 65¢ | $166 | +$15 +10% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 202 | 50¢ → 72¢ | $144 | +$44 +44% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 796 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $131 | −$4 −2.7% |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 470 | 23¢ → 25¢ | $117 | +$8 +7.8% |
| John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 130 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $116 | +$16 +16% |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 141 | 71¢ → 82¢ | $115 | +$15 +15% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 118 | 34¢ → 92¢ | $108 | +$68 +169% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 239 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $103 | +$3 +2.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 168 | 81¢ → 61¢ | $102 | −$33 −24% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 107 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $101 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 716 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $100 | −$21 −18% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 116 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $95 | −$5 −5.4% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 96 | 62¢ → 93¢ | $89 | +$29 +49% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 106 | 47¢ → 81¢ | $86 | +$36 +72% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 100 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $73 | −$5 −6.4% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $69 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,477 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $66 | −$42 −38% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 60¢ → 65¢ | $65 | +$5 +8.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 75 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $60 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 124 | 48¢ → 48¢ | $59 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | No | 300 | 41¢ → 20¢ | $59 | −$63 −52% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 114 | 48¢ → 51¢ | $58 | +$3 +5.5% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 178 | 17¢ → 31¢ | $55 | +$25 +84% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 132 | 42¢ → 33¢ | $43 | −$12 −22% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 518 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $39 | −$36 −48% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 58 | 52¢ → 64¢ | $37 | +$7 +23% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 77 | 26¢ → 46¢ | $35 | +$15 +75% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 32 | 47¢ → 97¢ | $31 | +$16 +107% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 30 | 67¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$9 +47% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 36 | 34¢ → 80¢ | $28 | +$16 +137% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 37 | 54¢ → 74¢ | $27 | +$7 +37% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 47 | 43¢ → 56¢ | $26 | +$6 +31% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 54 | 37¢ → 48¢ | $26 | +$6 +28% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 63 | 32¢ → 41¢ | $26 | +$6 +28% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 347 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $24 | −$11 −31% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 36 | 84¢ → 66¢ | $23 | −$7 −22% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 133 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $22 | +$2 +10% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 428 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $19 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $16 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 22 | 46¢ → 71¢ | $15 | +$5 +54% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 69 | 58¢ → 20¢ | $14 | −$26 −66% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 25 | 40¢ → 54¢ | $14 | +$4 +35% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 15 | 73¢ → 85¢ | $13 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 26 | 30¢ → 46¢ | $12 | +$4 +52% |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 37 | 27¢ → 33¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 40¢ → 59¢ | $12 | +$4 +46% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 18 | 66¢ → 61¢ | $11 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 64 | 28¢ → 16¢ | $10 | −$8 −45% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 40 | 30¢ → 24¢ | $10 | −$2 −20% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 34 | 33¢ → 25¢ | $8 | −$3 −25% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 4d | No | 76 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $6 | −$1 −12% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$4 −42% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 40 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 118 | 17¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$15 −76% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $4 | +$2 +79% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 169 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$9 −73% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 24 | 21¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$2 −36% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 33 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$2 −41% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 46¢ → 28¢ | $3 | −$2 −40% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$0 −15% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 67 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $2 | +$0 +9.3% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 106 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$5 −70% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 36 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$3 −68% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 34 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.6% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 40 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −51% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −40% |
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 22 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −40% |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 167 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −58% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −70% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −70% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 13¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$2 −86% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | No | 20 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −86% |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −94% |
