| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?Ends in 2d | No | 42 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $40 | +$4 +12% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 49 | 40¢ → 80¢ | $39 | +$20 +100% |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?Ends in 2d | No | 36 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $34 | +$4 +15% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 30 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $28 | +$4 +16% |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 67¢ → 81¢ | $24 | +$4 +21% |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%?Ends in 2d | No | 25 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $24 | +$4 +20% |
| Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 25 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $22 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5?Ends ended | Yes | 23 | 67¢ → 98¢ | $22 | +$7 +47% |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?Ends in 2d | No | 23 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $22 | +$2 +10% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 68d | No | 29 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $21 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | No | 31 | 59¢ → 66¢ | $20 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 82 | 17¢ → 24¢ | $19 | +$5 +36% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?Ends ended | Yes | 23 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $19 | +$3 +19% |
| Will The Batman: Part II be delayed?Ends in 482d | Yes | 57 | 14¢ → 33¢ | $19 | +$11 +136% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 21 | 34¢ → 86¢ | $18 | +$11 +153% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 5, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 30 | 73¢ → 60¢ | $18 | −$4 −18% |
| Haiti elections delayed again?Ends in 121d | Yes | 19 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $17 | +$2 +15% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 65 | 42¢ → 26¢ | $17 | −$11 −39% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 22 | 81¢ → 73¢ | $16 | −$2 −10% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 22 | 22¢ → 66¢ | $15 | +$10 +193% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by at least 15%?Ends in 2d | No | 16 | 75¢ → 91¢ | $15 | +$3 +21% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?Ends in 2d | No | 15 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $14 | +$2 +17% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 25¢ → 68¢ | $13 | +$8 +170% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 31 | 41¢ → 42¢ | $13 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 250d | No | 14 | 57¢ → 91¢ | $13 | +$5 +58% |
| Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Ends ended | Yes | 13 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $13 | +$1 +7.2% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 250d | No | 16 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $12 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 82¢ → 73¢ | $12 | −$2 −11% |
| Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | Yes | 18 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 28 | 61¢ → 43¢ | $12 | −$5 −30% |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 83d | Yes | 16 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $12 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 13 | 45¢ → 87¢ | $12 | +$6 +93% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 73 | 27¢ → 14¢ | $11 | −$9 −46% |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Ends in 20d | Yes | 16 | 29¢ → 65¢ | $10 | +$6 +123% |
| Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?Ends in 2d | No | 19 | 63¢ → 56¢ | $10 | −$1 −12% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 67¢ → 86¢ | $10 | +$2 +27% |
| Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 10 | 58¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$4 +69% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 18 | 66¢ → 54¢ | $10 | −$2 −19% |
| Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | Yes | 15 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Ends in 41d | Yes | 80 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $9 | −$3 −23% |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 2d | No | 13 | 57¢ → 70¢ | $9 | +$2 +21% |
| Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | No | 9 | 68¢ → 99¢ | $9 | +$3 +45% |
| Will USD/BRL hit 7 (High) in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 90¢ | $9 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?Ends ended | Yes | 9 | 64¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$3 +42% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 40 | 31¢ → 21¢ | $8 | −$4 −32% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 20 | 38¢ → 37¢ | $8 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 250d | Yes | 9 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $8 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 9 | 45¢ → 84¢ | $7 | +$3 +86% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 12 | 68¢ → 63¢ | $7 | −$1 −8.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 28 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $7 | −$1 −8.6% |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?Ends in 68d | No | 8 | 75¢ → 89¢ | $7 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 10 | 59¢ → 70¢ | $7 | +$1 +19% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 27 | 30¢ → 27¢ | $7 | −$1 −12% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 23 | 40¢ → 30¢ | $7 | −$2 −25% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $7 | −$0 −6.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 80 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $7 | −$1 −15% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 52 | 9¢ → 13¢ | $7 | +$2 +44% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 29 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | No | 26 | 91¢ → 26¢ | $7 | −$17 −72% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 27¢ → 69¢ | $7 | +$4 +156% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 15 | 54¢ → 45¢ | $7 | −$1 −18% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 18 | 38¢ → 37¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?Ends in 2d | Yes | 25 | 24¢ → 27¢ | $7 | +$1 +9.0% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | No | 8 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $6 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will USD/BRL hit 6.75 (High) in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Ends in 20d | No | 8 | 62¢ → 81¢ | $6 | +$1 +30% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 69¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$1 +34% |
| Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 18 | 66¢ → 32¢ | $6 | −$6 −52% |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 7 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 9 | 54¢ → 65¢ | $6 | +$1 +19% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 59¢ → 55¢ | $5 | −$0 −7.2% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 6 | 72¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$1 +31% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 72¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$1 +31% |
| Will Jan Nadrchal be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Ends in 249d | No | 6 | 44¢ → 85¢ | $5 | +$2 +93% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 7 | 86¢ → 75¢ | $5 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 8 | 54¢ → 64¢ | $5 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?Ends in 2d | Yes | 5 | 30¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$3 +233% |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by at least 15%?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 64¢ → 50¢ | $5 | −$1 −23% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 6 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 7 | 62¢ → 68¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $4 | +$0 +12% |
| Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 69¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$1 +23% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 78 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Ends in 2h | Yes | 7 | 82¢ → 56¢ | $4 | −$2 −32% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | No | 4 | 71¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +35% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 75¢ → 67¢ | $4 | −$1 −11% |
| Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 16 | 19¢ → 25¢ | $4 | +$1 +32% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 18 | 30¢ → 22¢ | $4 | −$1 −28% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 55 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$2 −35% |
| Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Ends ended | Yes | 64 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will USD/BRL hit 6.5 (High) in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 92¢ → 57¢ | $4 | −$2 −38% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 57¢ → 70¢ | $4 | +$1 +23% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 24 | 61¢ → 16¢ | $4 | −$11 −75% |
| Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 53¢ → 98¢ | $4 | +$2 +85% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 3d | No change | 4 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $4 | +$1 +16% |
