| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Ends in 163d | No | 100 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $73 | $0 0.0% |
| Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?Ends in 163d | No | 100 | 87¢ → 72¢ | $72 | −$15 −17% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 80 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $50 | −$2 −3.1% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Ends in 163d | No | 80 | 51¢ → 52¢ | $41 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 73d | No | 50 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $39 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?Ends in 72d | No | 50 | 84¢ → 78¢ | $39 | −$3 −7.7% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 73d | No | 40 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $36 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 132d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 72¢ | $36 | −$3 −8.3% |
| Will Juventus finish first in UEL league phase?Ends in 131d | No | 40 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $34 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 93d | No | 40 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $33 | −$1 −4.0% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $323,000 and $327,000 on December 31?Ends in 83d | No | 40 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $30 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 50 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | No | 40 | 81¢ → 74¢ | $29 | −$3 −9.3% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | No | 50 | 64¢ → 59¢ | $29 | −$3 −8.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 40 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 40 | 80¢ → 71¢ | $29 | −$3 −11% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 100 | 41¢ → 28¢ | $28 | −$13 −32% |
| Will Mike Evans have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 99d | No | 40 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $25 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 30 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $21 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will Slovan Bratislava finish last in UCL league phase?Ends in 131d | No | 26 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $19 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Ends in 77d | No | 40 | 59¢ → 45¢ | $18 | −$6 −25% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 77d | No | 50 | 35¢ → 36¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Ends in 77d | No | 40 | 60¢ → 44¢ | $17 | −$7 −27% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 30 | 64¢ → 56¢ | $17 | −$2 −12% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Ends in 437d | No | 50 | 71¢ → 34¢ | $17 | −$19 −53% |
| Will Nottingham Forest be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Ends in 254d | No | 21 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $17 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will TCU have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 69¢ → 40¢ | $16 | −$12 −43% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Ends in 119d | No | 33 | 67¢ → 47¢ | $15 | −$7 −31% |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Ends in 163d | No | 50 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $14 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will the season series between the Texans and Colts end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 84d | No | 35 | 67¢ → 39¢ | $14 | −$10 −42% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win more than 9.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?Ends in 77d | U 9.5 | 40 | 42¢ → 33¢ | $13 | −$4 −21% |
| Will South Africa win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group D?Ends in 162d | No | 40 | 39¢ → 32¢ | $13 | −$3 −19% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 40 | 37¢ → 31¢ | $12 | −$2 −16% |
| Will Manchester City record the most clean sheets in the UCL league phase?Ends in 131d | No | 15 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $12 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 38¢ → 23¢ | $12 | −$8 −39% |
| Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Ends in 279d | No | 36 | 31¢ → 32¢ | $11 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will David Raya record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 242d | No | 15 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $11 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 50 | 26¢ → 22¢ | $11 | −$2 −17% |
| Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 237d | Yes | 50 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 254d | No | 14 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 12 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 13 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.2% |
| Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?Ends in 90d | No | 40 | 48¢ → 25¢ | $10 | −$9 −49% |
| Will Barcelona score the most goals in the UCL league phase?Ends in 131d | Yes | 25 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $9 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 50 | 26¢ → 19¢ | $9 | −$4 −29% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 40 | 33¢ → 23¢ | $9 | −$4 −30% |
| Will the New England Patriots have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Ends in 119d | No | 16 | 55¢ → 56¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 438d | Yes | 50 | 38¢ → 18¢ | $9 | −$10 −54% |
| Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 237d | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $9 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 73d | Yes | 40 | 35¢ → 21¢ | $8 | −$6 −40% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 50 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 17¢ | $8 | −$30 −78% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 163d | Yes | 50 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $8 | −$1 −13% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Ends in 87d | No | 12 | 75¢ → 70¢ | $8 | −$1 −6.3% |
| Will Aston Villa finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Ends in 237d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $8 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 73d | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $7 | −$2 −25% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 73d | Yes | 30 | 22¢ → 22¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | Yes | 50 | 31¢ → 13¢ | $6 | −$9 −60% |
| Will SMU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 36¢ → 14¢ | $6 | −$9 −61% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 9 | 66¢ → 64¢ | $5 | −$0 −3.0% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 50 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $5 | −$2 −25% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 51¢ | $5 | −$2 −31% |
| Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | No | 5 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Ends in 159d | Yes | 40 | 23¢ → 12¢ | $5 | −$4 −48% |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?Ends in 178d | Yes | 40 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $5 | −$3 −40% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +10% |
| Will Utah Utes Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?Ends in 60d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$0 −6.0% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +10% |
| Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 438d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Ends in 254d | No | 10 | 43¢ → 45¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 67¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$1 +36% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $5 | −$5 −50% |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 71¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$1 +27% |
| Will Newcastle United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 316d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 15d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 254d | Yes | 40 | 18¢ → 11¢ | $4 | −$3 −39% |
| Noble FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 438d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Ends in 110d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?Ends in 77d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Ends in 242d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.6% |
| Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 222d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 72d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 438d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?Ends in 15d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 438d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will RISE launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $4 | −$0 −5.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Ends in 15d | No | 5 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.3% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 254d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Fuse FDV above $6B one day after launch?Ends in 438d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 80¢ | $4 | −$1 −11% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 20 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.8% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 4 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +26% |
| Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 15d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 80¢ | $4 | −$0 −11% |
| Valantis FDV above $80M one day after launch?Ends in 438d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.2% |
| Will Harry Kane score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 242d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.5% |
