| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 498 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $354 | −$7 −2.0% |
| Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | No | 508 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $320 | +$6 +2.0% |
| Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 231 | 13¢ → 84¢ | $193 | +$163 +543% |
| Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Ends in 128d | No | 153 | 81¢ → 88¢ | $135 | +$10 +8.4% |
| Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 355 | 44¢ → 27¢ | $96 | −$60 −38% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 242 | 27¢ → 38¢ | $91 | +$26 +40% |
| Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 249d | No | 106 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $75 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 249 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $71 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | No | 75 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $69 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Ends in 128d | No | 70 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $58 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 64 | 65¢ → 84¢ | $53 | +$12 +29% |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | No | 60 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $51 | +$5 +11% |
| Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 50 | 46¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$25 +107% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 131 | 42¢ → 34¢ | $45 | −$10 −19% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 54 | 69¢ → 77¢ | $42 | +$4 +12% |
| Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 59 | 49¢ → 65¢ | $39 | +$9 +32% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 37 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $37 | +$2 +5.9% |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 7d | Yes | 58 | 47¢ → 61¢ | $35 | +$8 +29% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 45 | 77¢ → 73¢ | $33 | −$2 −5.8% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 47 | 59¢ → 69¢ | $32 | +$5 +17% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 4d | Yes | 31 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $28 | +$2 +6.2% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 77 | 34¢ → 35¢ | $27 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 28 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $26 | +$4 +16% |
| Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 25 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $24 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 45 | 48¢ → 51¢ | $23 | +$1 +5.4% |
| Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 31 | 48¢ → 73¢ | $23 | +$8 +52% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 24 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 69d | Mbappé | 30 | 62¢ → 75¢ | $22 | +$4 +20% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 28 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $22 | +$3 +13% |
| Will OpenRouter process less than 165T tokens the week of October 19?Ends in 2d | No | 24 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $22 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 28 | 69¢ → 76¢ | $21 | +$2 +11% |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 149 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $21 | +$2 +8.6% |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | Yes | 55 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 24 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 22 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $19 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 62¢ → 70¢ | $17 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | No | 23 | 62¢ → 71¢ | $17 | +$2 +15% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 19 | 90¢ → 86¢ | $16 | −$1 −4.8% |
| Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?Ends in 14d | Yes | 19 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $16 | +$1 +8.4% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 18 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $16 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?Ends in 28d | Yes | 31 | 46¢ → 50¢ | $15 | +$1 +8.7% |
| Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 20 | 74¢ → 73¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 17 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $14 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?Ends in 33d | Yes | 24 | 63¢ → 60¢ | $14 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?Ends in 2d | No | 14 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $14 | +$2 +19% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $13 | +$4 +47% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Ends in 4d | No | 31 | 36¢ → 43¢ | $13 | +$2 +17% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 18 | 69¢ → 71¢ | $13 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 23 | 64¢ → 53¢ | $12 | −$3 −18% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 24 | 62¢ → 52¢ | $12 | −$2 −16% |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 17 | 30¢ → 70¢ | $12 | +$7 +132% |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 56 | 49¢ → 21¢ | $11 | −$16 −59% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 41 | 34¢ → 26¢ | $11 | −$3 −24% |
| Will Twice release a song in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 78¢ → 55¢ | $11 | −$4 −30% |
| Will Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | Yes | 11 | 65¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$3 +48% |
| Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 50¢ | $10 | +$3 +38% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +22% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 15 | 58¢ → 61¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 50 | 6¢ → 18¢ | $9 | +$6 +200% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 16 | 55¢ → 57¢ | $9 | +$0 +5.0% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 41 | 33¢ → 22¢ | $9 | −$5 −35% |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 13 | 58¢ → 63¢ | $8 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 8 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $8 | +$1 +16% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 33 | 21¢ → 25¢ | $8 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 19 | 43¢ → 41¢ | $8 | −$1 −6.2% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 37 | 39¢ → 21¢ | $8 | −$7 −47% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 56 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $7 | +$0 +7.2% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8 | 61¢ → 79¢ | $6 | +$1 +29% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 7 | 57¢ → 91¢ | $6 | +$2 +60% |
| Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Ends in 249d | Yes | 7 | 54¢ → 82¢ | $6 | +$2 +52% |
| Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Ends in 249d | Yes | 6 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.4% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 39d | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Post Malone perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 159d | No | 6 | 79¢ → 88¢ | $5 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 159d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?Ends in 281d | No | 6 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.9% |
| Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 6 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | Yes | 6 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 52¢ → 54¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 6 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 6 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 6 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $5 | +$1 +12% |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.1% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 7 | 50¢ → 68¢ | $5 | +$1 +36% |
| Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | No | 5 | 65¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$2 +50% |
| Will Terry Yung win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 11 | 42¢ → 40¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.0% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $4 | +$1 +18% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 5 | 69¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$1 +28% |
| Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?Ends in 11d | Minnesota | 9 | 86¢ → 48¢ | $4 | −$4 −45% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 1d | No | 4 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $4 | +$0 +9.7% |
| Will Trump Airport become law this year?Ends in 69d | Yes | 26 | 48¢ → 17¢ | $4 | −$8 −64% |
| Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 6 | 34¢ → 70¢ | $4 | +$2 +106% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 9 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 12 | 72¢ → 32¢ | $4 | −$5 −56% |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | Yes | 33 | 61¢ → 12¢ | $4 | −$16 −81% |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 50 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.3% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 4 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +20% |
