| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 12,181 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $11,511 | +$1,537 +15% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 74d | No | 6,742 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $6,303 | +$303 +5.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 6,125 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $6,043 | +$128 +2.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 5,656 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $5,118 | −$47 −0.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 5,435 | 92¢ → 86¢ | $4,647 | −$343 −6.9% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 4,800 | 73¢ → 86¢ | $4,104 | +$600 +17% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 49,696 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $2,510 | −$2,175 −46% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 9d | No | 2,667 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $2,360 | −$40 −1.7% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 2,471 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $2,274 | +$194 +9.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 2,199 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $2,164 | +$163 +8.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 1,818 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $1,718 | +$82 +5.0% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,650 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $1,595 | +$225 +16% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 1,796 | 81¢ → 78¢ | $1,392 | −$65 −4.4% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,710 | 87¢ → 79¢ | $1,344 | −$151 −10% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,375 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $1,272 | +$83 +7.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,650 | 63¢ → 74¢ | $1,216 | +$170 +16% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 16d | No | 1,230 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $1,125 | +$31 +2.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,147 | 55¢ → 89¢ | $1,021 | +$386 +61% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,714 | 51¢ → 60¢ | $1,020 | +$142 +16% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 1,311 | 84¢ → 78¢ | $1,016 | −$83 −7.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,418 | 66¢ → 65¢ | $915 | −$21 −2.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 77d | No | 837 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $783 | +$84 +12% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 720 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $702 | +$46 +7.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 632 | 71¢ → 83¢ | $521 | +$73 +16% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 52d | Yes | 664 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $521 | −$43 −7.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 8,979 | 37¢ → 6¢ | $494 | −$2,858 −85% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 491 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $476 | +$48 +11% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 879 | 24¢ → 50¢ | $435 | +$227 +109% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 1,331 | 39¢ → 33¢ | $433 | −$92 −18% |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 68d | Yes | 465 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $425 | +$30 +7.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 28d | No | 1,333 | 24¢ → 30¢ | $393 | +$73 +23% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 441 | 60¢ → 88¢ | $386 | +$119 +45% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 486 | 67¢ → 77¢ | $372 | +$46 +14% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 12,000 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $366 | −$234 −39% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 51d | No | 447 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $362 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 388 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $361 | +$40 +12% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 750 | 66¢ → 43¢ | $323 | −$173 −35% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | Yes | 1,535 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $314 | +$5 +1.7% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,730 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $314 | +$14 +4.5% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 320 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $307 | +$16 +5.4% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4,574 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $297 | +$69 +30% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 326 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $296 | +$7 +2.2% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 678 | 69¢ → 44¢ | $295 | −$175 −37% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 333 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $288 | +$28 +11% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | Yes | 1,916 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $278 | −$165 −37% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,436 | 40¢ → 19¢ | $273 | −$307 −53% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 1,950 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $272 | −$10 −3.5% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 269 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $263 | +$23 +9.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 51d | No | 1,072 | 33¢ → 25¢ | $263 | −$87 −25% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 365 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $257 | +$13 +5.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 2,645 | 19¢ → 10¢ | $251 | −$261 −51% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 242 | 13¢ → >99¢ | $241 | +$210 +667% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 246 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $236 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 735 | 30¢ → 32¢ | $232 | +$11 +5.0% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 51d | No | 233 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $226 | +$31 +16% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 220 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $214 | +$17 +8.5% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 220 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $213 | +$26 +14% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 221 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $209 | +$21 +11% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 74d | No | 220 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $207 | +$9 +4.4% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 220 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $205 | +$7 +3.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 233 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $204 | +$10 +5.4% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 962 | 31¢ → 21¢ | $197 | −$101 −34% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 100d | No | 411 | 56¢ → 48¢ | $195 | −$34 −15% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,760 | 40¢ → 11¢ | $194 | −$512 −73% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 42d | No | 335 | 62¢ → 56¢ | $186 | −$22 −10% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 255d | Yes | 336 | 37¢ → 55¢ | $183 | +$59 +47% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 191 | 72¢ → 95¢ | $181 | +$43 +31% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 9d | No | 183 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $173 | +$19 +13% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 1,141 | 18¢ → 15¢ | $171 | −$29 −15% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 191 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $166 | +$35 +27% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 51d | Yes | 240 | 63¢ → 69¢ | $164 | +$13 +8.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 172 | 48¢ → 93¢ | $159 | +$77 +93% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 174 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $159 | +$18 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 5,292 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $159 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Ends in 13d | No | 240 | 47¢ → 65¢ | $155 | +$42 +37% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 194 | 65¢ → 80¢ | $154 | +$27 +22% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 164 | 63¢ → 89¢ | $146 | +$43 +41% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 161 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $144 | +$25 +21% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 13d | No | 145 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $140 | +$4 +2.9% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 12d | No | 144 | 47¢ → 95¢ | $136 | +$68 +101% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 150 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $134 | −$2 −1.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 357 | 77¢ → 37¢ | $132 | −$141 −52% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 74d | Yes | 406 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $109 | +$9 +8.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 127 | 63¢ → 79¢ | $100 | +$20 +25% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$17 +21% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 100d | No | 117 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $95 | +$2 +2.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 51d | Yes | 396 | 32¢ → 22¢ | $85 | −$40 −32% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 5,513 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $83 | −$83 −50% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 105d | Yes | 296 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $81 | −$26 −24% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,200 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $78 | −$6 −7.1% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 101 | 42¢ → 77¢ | $78 | +$35 +83% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | No | 186 | 58¢ → 42¢ | $77 | −$31 −28% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 88 | 89¢ → 83¢ | $73 | −$5 −6.8% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 51d | No | 73 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $72 | +$7 +10% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 73 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $71 | +$5 +7.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | Yes | 892 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $70 | −$15 −17% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 79 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $68 | +$7 +12% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 70 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $68 | +$10 +18% |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 72 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $66 | +$2 +2.8% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 439d | OpenAI | 1,154 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $65 | −$15 −19% |
