| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 4,166 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $3,895 | +$1,095 +39% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 4,013 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $2,668 | +$166 +6.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,816 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $2,014 | −$6 −0.3% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,440 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $1,145 | +$42 +3.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,708 | 59¢ → 64¢ | $1,093 | +$81 +8.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 957 | 42¢ → 66¢ | $632 | +$232 +58% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 466 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $365 | +$15 +4.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 421 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $347 | +$17 +5.2% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 330 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $313 | +$103 +49% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 297 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $277 | +$77 +39% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 252 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $216 | +$19 +9.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 247 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $192 | −$16 −7.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 419 | 33¢ → 39¢ | $161 | +$21 +15% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 186 | 56¢ → 75¢ | $139 | +$34 +32% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 119 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $115 | +$15 +15% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 143 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $111 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 111 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $107 | +$7 +7.2% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 426 | 73¢ → 25¢ | $107 | −$203 −66% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 119 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $103 | +$3 +3.0% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 210 | 33¢ → 35¢ | $74 | +$4 +5.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 391 | 28¢ → 18¢ | $68 | −$42 −38% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 74 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 81¢ → >99¢ | $49 | +$9 +23% |
| Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?Ends in 86d | Yes | 57 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $40 | −$0 −0.3% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 50¢ → 17¢ | $33 | −$68 −67% |
| Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | No | 35 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $33 | +$3 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 47 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $31 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 114 | 22¢ → 27¢ | $30 | +$5 +20% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 62 | 49¢ → 44¢ | $27 | −$3 −9.4% |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?Ends in 86d | Yes | 36 | 55¢ → 68¢ | $25 | +$5 +24% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 58 | 48¢ → 43¢ | $25 | −$3 −11% |
| Texas Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 10d | Talarico | 25 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $25 | +$5 +23% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 67 | 30¢ → 35¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 38¢ → 84¢ | $22 | +$12 +121% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?Ends in 13d | Yes | 24 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $21 | +$1 +7.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 28 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 26 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $19 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 26 | 38¢ → 74¢ | $19 | +$9 +92% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 27 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $19 | −$1 −5.3% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 71 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $19 | −$1 −5.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 21 | 47¢ → 89¢ | $19 | +$9 +88% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?Ends in 11d | Yes | 38 | 26¢ → 50¢ | $19 | +$9 +87% |
| Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 23 | 44¢ → 80¢ | $18 | +$8 +81% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 26 | 77¢ → 60¢ | $16 | −$4 −22% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 236 | 57¢ → 7¢ | $15 | −$120 −89% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 66 | 45¢ → 23¢ | $15 | −$15 −50% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 60 | 41¢ → 25¢ | $15 | −$10 −41% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 23 | 66¢ → 65¢ | $15 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 21 | 48¢ → 68¢ | $14 | +$4 +41% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 20¢ | $13 | +$3 +30% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 27 | 56¢ → 46¢ | $12 | −$3 −18% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 63 | 16¢ → 20¢ | $12 | +$2 +22% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $12 | +$2 +17% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 16 | 64¢ → 73¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 14 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $11 | +$1 +10% |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 31 | 32¢ → 36¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.5% |
| Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 17 | 58¢ → 63¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 12 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 16 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 12 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.0% |
| Will the next elected US president be a woman?Ends in 746d | Yes | 49 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 13 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 15 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?Ends in 434d | No | 12 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 13 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 13 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 16 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 13 | 75¢ → 74¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T?Ends in 434d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 12 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 19 | 52¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 40 | 38¢ → 25¢ | $10 | −$5 −35% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 19 | 52¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 21 | 48¢ → 46¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.4% |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 15 | 67¢ → 64¢ | $9 | −$1 −5.2% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 12 | 81¢ → 75¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.4% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.7% |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 17 | 59¢ → 54¢ | $9 | −$1 −8.5% |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 12 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $9 | −$1 −9.0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 65¢ → 59¢ | $9 | −$1 −10.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $9 | −$1 −12% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 73 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $9 | −$6 −42% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 42 | 24¢ → 19¢ | $8 | −$2 −21% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 15 | 68¢ → 48¢ | $7 | −$3 −30% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 47d | No | 12 | 83¢ → 56¢ | $7 | −$3 −33% |
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 11d | Yes | 28 | 36¢ → 24¢ | $7 | −$3 −35% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 38 | 26¢ → 17¢ | $6 | −$4 −37% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8 | 65¢ → 82¢ | $6 | +$1 +26% |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 45 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 6 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 8 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 11 | 47¢ → 41¢ | $4 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 15 | 68¢ → 29¢ | $4 | −$6 −57% |
| Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 82¢ → 64¢ | $4 | −$1 −22% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $4 | −$0 −2.5% |
