| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$6 +150% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Ends ended | No | 10 | 73¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$3 +37% |
| Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$1 +15% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 53¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$4 +84% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will Rafael Marín Mollinedo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 8h | No | 10 | 43¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$5 +115% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$1 +17% |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 52¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$4 +67% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 84¢ | $8 | +$2 +37% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 10 | 90¢ → 82¢ | $8 | −$1 −9.4% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 43¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$4 +90% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 47d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$1 +17% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 10 | 48¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$3 +64% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 78¢ | $8 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 38¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$4 +101% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 71¢ | $7 | +$0 +6.8% |
| Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 70¢ | $7 | +$0 +6.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 69¢ | $7 | −$1 −7.4% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $7 | $0 0.0% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 32¢ → 68¢ | $7 | +$4 +111% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 65¢ | $6 | −$1 −13% |
| Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 31¢ → 63¢ | $6 | +$3 +102% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 46¢ → 63¢ | $6 | +$2 +36% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 62¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 60¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 30d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 57¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 32¢ → 56¢ | $6 | +$2 +77% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 52¢ → 54¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 44¢ → 54¢ | $5 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | No | 10 | 55¢ → 54¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 51¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 46¢ → 47¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 47¢ | $5 | −$2 −33% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 7 | 55¢ → 69¢ | $5 | +$1 +25% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 17¢ → 97¢ | $4 | +$4 +471% |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 5 | 61¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$1 +46% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 44¢ → 44¢ | $4 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $4 | +$1 +20% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 43¢ | $4 | −$0 −9.6% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → 42¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 57¢ → 41¢ | $4 | −$2 −29% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Ends in 78d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 41¢ | $4 | −$1 −14% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 22¢ → 39¢ | $4 | +$2 +77% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 31¢ → 35¢ | $4 | +$0 +13% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 31¢ → 35¢ | $3 | +$0 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 34¢ → 35¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 10 | 25¢ → 33¢ | $3 | +$1 +30% |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 32¢ | $3 | +$2 +146% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | No | 10 | 25¢ → 32¢ | $3 | +$1 +26% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 26¢ → 31¢ | $3 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 30¢ | $3 | −$2 −36% |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 230?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 30¢ | $3 | −$2 −36% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 11¢ → 30¢ | $3 | +$2 +174% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 29¢ | $3 | −$2 −46% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 48¢ → 28¢ | $3 | −$2 −41% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 10 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $3 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 10 | 6¢ → 27¢ | $3 | +$2 +342% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 34¢ → 26¢ | $3 | −$1 −24% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 46¢ → 26¢ | $3 | −$2 −43% |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 10 | 16¢ → 26¢ | $3 | +$1 +59% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 20¢ → 26¢ | $3 | +$1 +28% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 31¢ → 25¢ | $2 | −$1 −21% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 14¢ → 24¢ | $2 | +$1 +68% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 10 | 19¢ → 24¢ | $2 | +$0 +24% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | No | 10 | 9¢ → 23¢ | $2 | +$1 +150% |
| Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 10 | 39¢ → 23¢ | $2 | −$2 −42% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $2 | −$0 −8.3% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 22¢ | $2 | −$0 −17% |
| Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 10 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $2 | −$0 −10% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 15¢ → 22¢ | $2 | +$1 +43% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 16d | No | 5 | 35¢ → 41¢ | $2 | +$0 +16% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 21¢ | $2 | +$1 +86% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 57¢ → 19¢ | $2 | −$4 −67% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | No | 10 | 32¢ → 19¢ | $2 | −$1 −42% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 10 | 50¢ → 19¢ | $2 | −$3 −63% |
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 10 | 36¢ → 18¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | No | 10 | 29¢ → 18¢ | $2 | −$1 −40% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 60¢ → 90¢ | $2 | +$1 +50% |
| Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 30¢ → 34¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 23¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$1 −27% |
| Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 10 | 27¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$1 −39% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 10 | 27¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$1 −39% |
| Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | Yes | 10 | 23¢ → 16¢ | $2 | −$1 −30% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 12¢ → 30¢ | $1 | +$1 +151% |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Ends in 1d | No | 10 | 43¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$3 −66% |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$1 +61% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 32¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$2 −56% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 60¢ → 66¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | No | 10 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 34¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$2 −65% |
| Will the Republicans win Greenville County in the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 35¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$2 −69% |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $1 | +$0 +31% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 19¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$1 −49% |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 434d | Yes | 10 | 9¢ → 10¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.0% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 37¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$3 −74% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 22¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$1 −57% |
