| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 2,500 | 91¢ → 86¢ | $2,159 | −$121 −5.3% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,098 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,074 | −$2 −0.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $815 | −$5 −0.6% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $570 | +$22 +4.0% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 515 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $501 | +$10 +2.0% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 500 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $490 | +$5 +0.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 500 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $463 | +$8 +1.6% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 900 | 44¢ → 46¢ | $416 | +$17 +4.2% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 250d | No | 523 | 72¢ → 79¢ | $410 | +$32 +8.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 500 | 49¢ → 80¢ | $398 | +$154 +63% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 500 | 61¢ → 78¢ | $388 | +$82 +27% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $374 | +$48 +15% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 400 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $328 | −$22 −6.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$50 +21% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | Yes | 400 | 72¢ → 69¢ | $274 | −$16 −5.5% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3,900 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $255 | −$8 −3.1% |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 350 | 58¢ → 66¢ | $229 | +$27 +14% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 600 | 40¢ → 37¢ | $219 | −$23 −9.6% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 300 | 79¢ → 67¢ | $201 | −$37 −16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 204 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $198 | −$2 −1.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $180 | −$8 −4.3% |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $171 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 81¢ | $161 | −$11 −6.4% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 250d | Yes | 300 | 65¢ → 54¢ | $160 | −$35 −18% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 156 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $155 | +$5 +3.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,200 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $150 | +$18 +14% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 721 | 17¢ → 21¢ | $148 | +$25 +21% |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 153 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $146 | +$20 +16% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 200 | 66¢ → 59¢ | $117 | −$15 −11% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 300 | 42¢ → 39¢ | $116 | −$9 −7.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 700 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $112 | +$7 +6.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 400 | 32¢ → 26¢ | $102 | −$28 −22% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 10,000 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $100 | −$46 −32% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 402 | 21¢ → 24¢ | $94 | +$8 +9.8% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,889 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $87 | +$26 +43% |
| Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 283 | 15¢ → 30¢ | $83 | +$42 +101% |
| 2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?Ends in 176d | Zemmour | 106 | 72¢ → 79¢ | $83 | +$7 +8.7% |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,194 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $82 | −$14 −15% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | Yes | 90 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $75 | +$8 +12% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 468 | 11¢ → 15¢ | $70 | +$19 +36% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 100 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $64 | +$2 +2.4% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,000 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $58 | −$14 −20% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 100 | 52¢ → 58¢ | $58 | +$6 +12% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 192 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $53 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 434d | Yes | 500 | 16¢ → 10¢ | $51 | −$28 −36% |
| Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 423 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $36 | −$3 −6.9% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 100 | 34¢ → 35¢ | $34 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 300 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $30 | −$6 −17% |
| Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 282 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $30 | −$7 −18% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 68¢ → 74¢ | $29 | +$2 +8.1% |
| 1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 52 | 35¢ → 42¢ | $22 | +$4 +20% |
| Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 28¢ | $19 | +$9 +90% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 231 | 22¢ → 8¢ | $18 | −$33 −64% |
| Trump meets with Putin by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 15 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 15 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $14 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Chuck Norris rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 68¢ | $14 | +$6 +82% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $9 | +$6 +168% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 17h | Yes | 210 | 65¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$134 −99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a cactus?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 169 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Spread: England (-2.5)Settled - ready to redeem | England | 80 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Germany | 38 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 559 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$189 −100% |
| Will it rain in Chicago, IL on August 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 10 and 29 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 81 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?Settled - ready to redeem | Kai | 100 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Indiana lions in custody by August 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Brazil | 69 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 336 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 155 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos TsitsipasSettled - ready to redeem | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 42 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 51 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$141 −100% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Japan | 10 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 450 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
