| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 155 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $146 | +$6 +4.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 176 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $145 | −$4 −2.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 141 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $120 | +$9 +8.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 147 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $98 | +$4 +3.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 102 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $87 | +$0 +0.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 88 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $83 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 436 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $72 | −$15 −17% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 72 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $66 | +$4 +6.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 89 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $57 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 264 | 13¢ → 21¢ | $54 | +$20 +58% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 64 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $54 | −$4 −6.5% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | Yes | 149 | 30¢ → 35¢ | $52 | +$7 +16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 59 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $52 | +$3 +7.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 53 | 44¢ → 96¢ | $50 | +$27 +117% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 68 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 64 | 69¢ → 74¢ | $47 | +$3 +7.0% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 102 | 35¢ → 46¢ | $47 | +$11 +31% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 53 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $45 | +$3 +8.1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 58 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $45 | +$4 +11% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 45 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $44 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 61 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $43 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 170 | 26¢ → 26¢ | $43 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 65 | 35¢ → 63¢ | $41 | +$18 +78% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 76 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $40 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 48 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $38 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | No | 109 | 31¢ → 35¢ | $38 | +$4 +13% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $37 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 53 | 60¢ → 70¢ | $37 | +$5 +16% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 23h | Yes | 38 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $36 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 50¢ → 87¢ | $34 | +$15 +73% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 106 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $32 | −$2 −4.7% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 106 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $32 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 88 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $30 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 205 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $30 | −$5 −15% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 39 | 66¢ → 71¢ | $28 | +$2 +8.0% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 30 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $27 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 69 | 30¢ → 39¢ | $27 | +$6 +28% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $26 | +$5 +21% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 30 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $26 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 31 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $25 | −$2 −6.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 70 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $24 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $24 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 188 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $23 | −$11 −33% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $22 | +$0 +1.2% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 24 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $22 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 21 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.4% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | Yes | 29 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $19 | −$2 −10% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 28 | 62¢ → 68¢ | $19 | +$2 +9.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 62 | 31¢ → 31¢ | $19 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 354 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.9% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | No | 83 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $19 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 21 | 50¢ → 84¢ | $18 | +$7 +68% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 19 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$2 +9.6% |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 87¢ → 83¢ | $17 | −$1 −4.7% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $16 | +$3 +22% |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $16 | +$3 +22% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 24 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 22 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 21 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $15 | −$1 −4.8% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 16 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $15 | −$1 −3.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 18 | 85¢ → 80¢ | $15 | −$1 −6.5% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $14 | +$2 +17% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 20 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $13 | −$0 −3.4% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 18 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $13 | +$2 +17% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 19 | 63¢ → 65¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 12 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 13 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $11 | −$0 −3.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 12 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $11 | +$2 +19% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | No | 14 | 69¢ → 71¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 14 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $9 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 8 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $6 | +$0 +6.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 6 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $5 | −$0 −4.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 42 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $4 | −$0 −12% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 32 | 50¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$15 −92% |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 3 | 45¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −95% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 89 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 454 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 49 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will CDU win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 61 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
