| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3,153 | 43¢ → 83¢ | $2,601 | +$1,240 +91% |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 772 | 45¢ → 100¢ | $772 | +$424 +122% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 239 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $239 | +$8 +3.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 64¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$72 +56% |
| Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$176 +733% |
| Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 156 | 18¢ → 100¢ | $156 | +$129 +468% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended | No | 179 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $145 | −$7 −4.6% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 128d | Yes | 1,100 | 30¢ → 13¢ | $138 | −$193 −58% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 128d | Yes | 861 | 39¢ → 11¢ | $95 | −$244 −72% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | No | 362 | 65¢ → 17¢ | $60 | −$175 −75% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3,392 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $59 | +$12 +25% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 814 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $39 | −$103 −73% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $26 | +$4 +16% |
| Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended | Yes | 540 | <1¢ → 3¢ | $15 | +$13 +627% |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended | Yes | 11 | <1¢ → 27¢ | $3 | +$3 +6306% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 27¢ → 18¢ | $3 | −$1 −33% |
| Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended | Yes | 57 | <1¢ → 3¢ | $1 | +$1 +2500% |
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 26 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $1 | +$0 +33% |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$2 −68% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$195 −100% |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 58 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 340 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Francisco Trincão record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 82 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 98 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 523 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,426 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$111 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,752 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 212 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 72 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 531 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 74 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 150 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 340 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 150 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 450 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 315 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 150 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,824 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 455 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,993 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$141 −100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released on February 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 154 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSettled - ready to redeem | Something | 766 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$376 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,578 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 454 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 150 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 66 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 150 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,989 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 458 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$257 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,401 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 98 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,612 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-07?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,464 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$502 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 29)Settled - ready to redeem | No | 78 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 515 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 538 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $650b and $660b on January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 529 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
