| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7h | Yes | 544 | 58¢ → 70¢ | $379 | +$61 +19% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 269 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $254 | +$44 +21% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 251 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $231 | +$7 +3.0% |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 235 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $218 | +$9 +4.2% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 67d | No | 313 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $207 | −$1 −0.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | Yes | 416 | 50¢ → 47¢ | $193 | −$16 −7.6% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 256 | 66¢ → 75¢ | $191 | +$21 +12% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 200 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$34 +22% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 285 | 64¢ → 62¢ | $176 | −$6 −3.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 231 | 56¢ → 67¢ | $155 | +$25 +20% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 10d | Yes | 189 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $153 | +$23 +17% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 174 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $150 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 158 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $149 | +$9 +6.2% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 7h | No | 150 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $147 | +$19 +15% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Ends in 3d | Yes | 161 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $146 | +$5 +3.8% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 206 | 63¢ → 70¢ | $143 | +$13 +9.7% |
| Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 88d | No | 150 | 69¢ → 95¢ | $143 | +$40 +39% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 153 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $140 | +$0 +0.0% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 68d | No | 170 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $137 | +$3 +1.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 213 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $133 | −$5 −3.6% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 165 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $123 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 143 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $115 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 131 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $113 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7h | No | 146 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $102 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 145 | 60¢ → 70¢ | $101 | +$14 +17% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 625 | 25¢ → 15¢ | $96 | −$59 −38% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 134 | 60¢ → 68¢ | $90 | +$9 +12% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 101 | 73¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$15 +20% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 98 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $82 | +$5 +6.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 454 | 23¢ → 18¢ | $80 | −$25 −24% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 532 | 19¢ → 14¢ | $77 | −$24 −24% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7h | No | 86 | 56¢ → 89¢ | $77 | +$28 +59% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 83 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $76 | +$6 +8.9% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 78 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $75 | +$5 +7.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 81 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $74 | +$4 +6.4% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 95 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $74 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 86 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $74 | +$4 +6.2% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 77 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $74 | +$4 +5.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | No | 219 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $73 | +$3 +4.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | Yes | 124 | 71¢ → 56¢ | $69 | −$19 −21% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 81 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $69 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 77 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $68 | −$2 −2.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 93 | 54¢ → 73¢ | $68 | +$18 +35% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 68d | No | 82 | 61¢ → 82¢ | $67 | +$17 +34% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 69 | 58¢ → 96¢ | $66 | +$26 +65% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 99 | 70¢ → 64¢ | $63 | −$7 −9.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 91 | 55¢ → 69¢ | $62 | +$12 +25% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 82 | 61¢ → 75¢ | $61 | +$11 +23% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 37d | No | 72 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $61 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 333 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $60 | −$10 −14% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 64 | 70¢ → 92¢ | $59 | +$14 +31% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 60 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $55 | +$5 +10% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 36d | Yes | 154 | 37¢ → 36¢ | $55 | −$2 −4.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 73 | 34¢ → 75¢ | $54 | +$30 +121% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 74 | 57¢ → 73¢ | $54 | +$11 +27% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 56 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $53 | +$3 +5.0% |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?Ends in 640d | Yes | 59 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $52 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 86 | 57¢ → 60¢ | $51 | +$2 +3.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d | No | 54 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $50 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Khamzat Chimaev next?Ends in 267d | No | 50 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$8 +19% |
| Will Xavi Hernandez attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 37d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$13 +36% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 867 | 24¢ → 6¢ | $48 | −$159 −77% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 50 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$7 +18% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 158d | No | 49 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$2 +4.4% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 202 | 30¢ → 23¢ | $45 | −$15 −25% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 48 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $45 | +$5 +13% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 61 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $45 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 64 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $44 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $43 | +$3 +8.8% |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 45 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $43 | +$3 +6.5% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 44 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $42 | +$2 +5.0% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 123 | 30¢ → 34¢ | $42 | +$5 +13% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 243 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $40 | −$7 −14% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 176 | 34¢ → 23¢ | $40 | −$20 −34% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 68d | Yes | 104 | 16¢ → 37¢ | $39 | +$22 +128% |
| Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 1d | Yes | 120 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $37 | −$2 −4.7% |
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?Ends in 249d | Yes | 39 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $37 | +$7 +24% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 150 | 33¢ → 24¢ | $36 | −$14 −27% |
| Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 68d | No | 42 | 57¢ → 84¢ | $35 | +$11 +47% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 7h | Yes | 36 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $35 | +$2 +6.1% |
| Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 60 | 73¢ → 56¢ | $34 | −$10 −23% |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 248d | Yes | 62 | 81¢ → 55¢ | $34 | −$16 −33% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 33 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $33 | +$5 +17% |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Ends in 67d | Yes | 37 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $28 | −$1 −3.1% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 10d | No | 413 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $28 | −$18 −39% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 29d | Yes | 73 | 44¢ → 38¢ | $27 | −$5 −16% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 68d | No | 30 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $27 | +$1 +4.9% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 270 | 37¢ → 10¢ | $27 | −$74 −73% |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?Ends in 68d | No | 27 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $26 | +$6 +28% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 36 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $25 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 30 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $24 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | No | 28 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $24 | +$4 +19% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 15d | Yes | 38 | 59¢ → 61¢ | $23 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 30 | 79¢ → 76¢ | $23 | −$1 −4.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 32 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.9% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 158d | Yes | 175 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $21 | −$6 −24% |
| Trump on $250 bill this year?Ends in 68d | No | 21 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 134 | 30¢ → 16¢ | $21 | −$19 −48% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?Ends in 7h | No | 24 | 35¢ → 87¢ | $20 | +$12 +147% |