| Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by June 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.20 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.25 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Marriott Total Rooms above 1.78 million in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.40 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| FDA approves Otsuka's Centanafadine?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above $175B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Trump re-sues WSJ by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.6B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.30 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $85B by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Airbnb Nights and Seats Booked above 150 million in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $250M?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $6.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Lorenzo Alessi be cast on Love Island UK: Season 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $27.0B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| DoorDash total orders above 900M in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| FDA approves Celcuity's Gedatolisib?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Jesus by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17B by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Paramount+ subscribers above 74M in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Keysight's Q2 orders be above $1.75B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will MrBeast hit 123.5 billion views by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 90 mph?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
