| Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?Ends ended | No | 10 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 57¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$4 +75% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?Ends ended | No | 10 | 6¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$9 +1487% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 14¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$9 +614% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 79¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$2 +26% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$1 +10% |
| Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$2 +20% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 24?Ends ended | No | 10 | 78¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +27% |
| Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.7% |
| StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +20% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +46% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 18h | No | 10 | 70¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +42% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +43% |
| Will XRP reach $2.20 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +51% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 18h | No | 10 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$2 +22% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.3% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +30% |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +25% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 41¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$6 +138% |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$4 +58% |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +17% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 16d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$2 +19% |
| Greenland snap election called by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 39¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$6 +142% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$3 +45% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$3 +54% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 59¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$3 +58% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +5.7% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 64¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$3 +45% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends ended | No | 10 | 71¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$2 +30% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 67¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$3 +37% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 50¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$4 +84% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $9 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?Ends ended | Down | 10 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +10% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 10 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.6% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$3 +41% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends ended | No | 10 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$2 +21% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 32¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$6 +183% |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.2% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 10 | 70¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$2 +26% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 24?Ends ended | No | 10 | 38¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$5 +132% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $9 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $9 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$2 +25% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 86¢ | $9 | −$1 −6.1% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 53¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$3 +62% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$2 +38% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 58¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$3 +46% |
| Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 57¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$3 +48% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 84¢ | $8 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 84¢ | $8 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 9 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $8 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 83¢ | $8 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$2 +25% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $8 | −$0 −4.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$1 +18% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 45¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$4 +82% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 67¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$2 +22% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$1 +9.3% |
| Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | No | 10 | 66¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$2 +23% |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 81¢ | $8 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 47d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $8 | −$0 −4.1% |
