| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 14 | 28¢ → 75¢ | $10 | +$6 +166% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $9 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Solana reach $140 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $9 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d | No | 9 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +10% |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +7.8% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $8 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $8 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 21 | 10¢ → 39¢ | $8 | +$6 +306% |
| Will Solana dip to $90 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 84¢ → 62¢ | $6 | −$2 −26% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$3 +159% |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 26¢ → 67¢ | $5 | +$3 +156% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 38¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$3 +147% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 24h | Yes | 6 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 4 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 4 | 44¢ → 71¢ | $3 | +$1 +61% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 11 | 10¢ → 28¢ | $3 | +$2 +180% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$1 −32% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 3 | 64¢ → 90¢ | $3 | +$1 +41% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | Yes | 14 | 11¢ → 20¢ | $3 | +$1 +77% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 43¢ → 55¢ | $3 | +$1 +27% |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | No | 16 | 11¢ → 15¢ | $2 | +$1 +36% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 43¢ → 53¢ | $2 | +$0 +22% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends ended | No | 2 | 85¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $2 | +$0 +14% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 4 | 50¢ → 55¢ | $2 | +$0 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 6 | 31¢ → 34¢ | $2 | +$0 +9.7% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5 | 40¢ → 43¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will a player from the SEC win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Ends in 64d | Yes | 18 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $2 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 4 | 44¢ → 47¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 3 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 3 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 3 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 40¢ → 41¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will Pedro Pascal be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | No | 2 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $2 | +$0 +23% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 18 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 22 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$0 −15% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 3 | 68¢ → 64¢ | $2 | −$0 −5.9% |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 3 | 75¢ → 70¢ | $2 | −$0 −6.7% |
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 2 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Brock Bowers have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 3 | 57¢ → 67¢ | $2 | +$0 +18% |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 17 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $2 | $0 0.0% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 3 | 61¢ → 56¢ | $2 | −$0 −9.0% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 4 | 51¢ → 46¢ | $2 | −$0 −11% |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 3 | 71¢ → 63¢ | $2 | −$0 −12% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $2 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Bodø/Glimt finish top 8 in UCL league phase?Ends in 127d | No | 2 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.2% |
| Will Control Resonant win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 47d | No | 2 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?Ends in 36d | Yes | 8 | 22¢ → 22¢ | $2 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Oklahoma Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends ended | No | 2 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?Ends in 49d | No | 2 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will Sophie Okonedo be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 2 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Will Mike Leigh be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 2 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.7% |
| Will Barbara Lee win the Oakland Mayor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | No | 2 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | No | 2 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 2 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Illinois Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends in 108d | No | 2 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Slay the Spire 2 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Georgia Tech Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends in 108d | No | 2 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Auburn Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends in 108d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will USC Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends in 108d | No | 2 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 28¢ → 23¢ | $2 | −$0 −20% |
| Will Massachusetts Minutemen Win the 2026 MAC Championship?Ends in 57d | No | 2 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Arizona State Sun Devils Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?Ends ended | No | 2 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?Ends in 49d | No | 2 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Virginia Tech Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends in 108d | No | 2 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will LSU Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends ended | No | 2 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Ends in 93d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Jalen Hurts have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 2 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Houston Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends in 108d | No | 2 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Arkansas Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends in 108d | No | 2 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Arizona St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends in 108d | No | 2 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Kansas St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends in 108d | No | 2 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Michigan Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?Ends in 108d | No | 2 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Mikey Madison be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will any player break the NFL single-season sacks record in the 2026-27 season?Ends in 95d | No | 2 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will Emeka Egbuka have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 2 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $2 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Texas State Bobcats Win the 2026 Pac-12 Championship?Ends in 56d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?Ends in 49d | No | 2 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will Paweł Pawlikowski be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.7% |
