| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 517 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $406 | +$8 +1.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 383 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $339 | +$68 +25% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 248 | 61¢ → 91¢ | $226 | +$75 +50% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 187 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $175 | +$29 +20% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 194 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $160 | −$3 −1.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 172 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $149 | +$43 +40% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 169 | 68¢ → 78¢ | $131 | +$16 +14% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 114 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $93 | +$3 +3.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 91 | 25¢ → >99¢ | $91 | +$68 +303% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 88 | 65¢ → 97¢ | $85 | +$28 +48% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 96 | 57¢ → 84¢ | $81 | +$26 +47% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 91 | 55¢ → 89¢ | $81 | +$31 +61% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 80 | 54¢ → 93¢ | $74 | +$31 +71% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 74 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $64 | +$13 +26% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 68 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $63 | +$9 +17% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 5,800 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $61 | +$6 +10% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 67 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $61 | +$10 +19% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 71 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $60 | +$7 +13% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 66 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $60 | +$5 +8.9% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 66 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $58 | +$8 +16% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $55 | +$31 +129% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 58 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $55 | +$5 +9.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 58 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $54 | +$3 +6.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 62 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $52 | +$5 +9.9% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 55 | 46¢ → 94¢ | $52 | +$26 +103% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 61 | 62¢ → 83¢ | $51 | +$13 +34% |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 54 | 56¢ → 89¢ | $48 | +$18 +58% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$2 +5.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 52 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $43 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 230 | 14¢ → 18¢ | $41 | +$7 +22% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 46 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $40 | +$6 +19% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 320 | 8¢ → 13¢ | $40 | +$15 +60% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,200 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $40 | +$13 +46% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 44 | 69¢ → 92¢ | $40 | +$10 +32% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 44 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $40 | +$6 +18% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 45 | 68¢ → 83¢ | $37 | +$7 +21% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 270 | 3¢ → 14¢ | $37 | +$30 +425% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $35 | +$21 +150% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 170 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $35 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 38 | 47¢ → 87¢ | $33 | +$15 +87% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $33 | +$3 +8.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 37 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $30 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 32 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $29 | +$4 +17% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 30 | 35¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$18 +174% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $28 | +$3 +11% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 920 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $28 | +$2 +8.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 98 | 44¢ → 28¢ | $28 | −$15 −35% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 28¢ | $28 | +$15 +112% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $25 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 32 | 79¢ → 75¢ | $24 | −$1 −5.1% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 118 | 15¢ → 20¢ | $24 | +$6 +32% |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 63¢ → 93¢ | $23 | +$7 +48% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,150 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $23 | +$16 +233% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 150 | 20¢ → 15¢ | $23 | −$7 −23% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 415 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $22 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 68d | No | 32 | 64¢ → 66¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,100 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $20 | +$8 +63% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$2 +13% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $20 | −$2 −7.1% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$3 +19% |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $17 | +$2 +12% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 19 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $17 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 35 | 63¢ → 47¢ | $16 | −$6 −26% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 65 | 63¢ → 24¢ | $16 | −$25 −61% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 25 | 59¢ → 63¢ | $16 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $15 | −$1 −6.9% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 76¢ | $15 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 63¢ → 94¢ | $15 | +$5 +48% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 27 | 38¢ → 52¢ | $14 | +$4 +38% |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 24¢ → 35¢ | $14 | +$4 +45% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 36 | 5¢ → 38¢ | $14 | +$12 +709% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 30 | 33¢ → 44¢ | $13 | +$3 +33% |
| Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 74¢ → 92¢ | $13 | +$3 +24% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 32 | 63¢ → 40¢ | $13 | −$8 −37% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 80 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $13 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 72 | 67¢ → 18¢ | $13 | −$35 −74% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 17 | 61¢ → 72¢ | $12 | +$2 +17% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 12 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 270 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $12 | +$7 +156% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 12 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.3% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 555 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $11 | +$3 +39% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 13 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $11 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 270 | 21¢ → 4¢ | $11 | −$45 −81% |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 58¢ → 94¢ | $11 | +$4 +61% |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 36¢ → 73¢ | $10 | +$5 +101% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 2d | No | 12 | 26¢ → 86¢ | $10 | +$7 +231% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 12 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $10 | −$0 −4.3% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 17 | 78¢ → 56¢ | $10 | −$4 −28% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$4 +69% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 52 | 33¢ → 18¢ | $9 | −$8 −47% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 52¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$4 +73% |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 12 | 82¢ → 75¢ | $9 | −$1 −9.1% |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 51¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$4 +74% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 65¢ → 21¢ | $8 | −$18 −68% |
