| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 2,000 | 50¢ → 67¢ | $1,330 | +$330 +33% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 2,000 | 50¢ → 34¢ | $670 | −$330 −33% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 600 | 58¢ → 65¢ | $387 | +$39 +11% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 390 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $364 | +$31 +9.2% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 209 | 65¢ → >99¢ | $209 | +$72 +53% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 231 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $203 | +$4 +1.8% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends ended | No | 200 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $197 | +$11 +5.6% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $195 | +$14 +7.8% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 54¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$84 +79% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $191 | +$7 +3.6% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 7d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$39 +26% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$17 +10% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?Ends in 70d | Yes | 210 | 37¢ → 82¢ | $171 | +$92 +117% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $163 | −$3 −1.8% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 155 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $151 | +$26 +20% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $149 | −$5 −3.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 130 | 72¢ → 85¢ | $110 | +$17 +18% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.7 ft or more?Ends in 70d | No | 100 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $100 | +$7 +7.2% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$10 +11% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$17 +21% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$4 +4.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 64¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$32 +49% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$9 +9.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$6 +6.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$10 +12% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 60¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$30 +49% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $81 | +$7 +8.8% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 98 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $80 | +$1 +1.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 48¢ → 66¢ | $66 | +$18 +39% |
| Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 60 | 72¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$17 +39% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 105 | 36¢ → 53¢ | $55 | +$17 +46% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $38 | +$4 +13% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 74¢ → 89¢ | $27 | +$4 +20% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 36 | 40¢ → 54¢ | $19 | +$5 +36% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 68¢ → 89¢ | $18 | +$4 +30% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 68¢ → 86¢ | $16 | +$3 +26% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 17 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $16 | +$2 +12% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 48¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$4 +91% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$3 +63% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$1 +12% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?Ends in 70d | Yes | 210 | 23¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$44 −90% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$1 +15% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 216 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 270 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Sucker" in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | France | 20 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$245 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 20 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 577 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$198 −100% |
| Will Bessent say "Shadow" during press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Dissent" during September Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 20 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$151 −100% |
| Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 717 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?Settled - ready to redeem | $60k | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 615 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$519 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Bessent say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 412 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 558 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$360 −100% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$93 −100% |
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$157 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 236 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 91 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 110 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 822 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$242 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 553 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$153 −100% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
