| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 68d | No | 39 | 68¢ → 83¢ | $32 | +$6 +21% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d | No | 31 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $29 | +$1 +3.9% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 51 | 36¢ → 53¢ | $27 | +$9 +47% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 29 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $27 | +$2 +6.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 31 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $26 | +$4 +18% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | Yes | 37 | 47¢ → 59¢ | $22 | +$4 +26% |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 23 | 48¢ → 78¢ | $18 | +$7 +60% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 53 | 60¢ → 29¢ | $15 | −$16 −52% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 68 | 26¢ → 18¢ | $12 | −$6 −33% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Ends in 67d | No | 14 | 56¢ → 85¢ | $11 | +$4 +51% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 17 | 57¢ → 66¢ | $11 | +$1 +15% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 61 | 35¢ → 17¢ | $10 | −$11 −52% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 16 | 66¢ → 61¢ | $10 | −$1 −7.6% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 41 | 28¢ → 23¢ | $9 | −$2 −20% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 26 | 24¢ → 33¢ | $9 | +$2 +38% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 68d | No | 14 | 44¢ → 63¢ | $9 | +$2 +41% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 55 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $8 | −$1 −14% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 37 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $8 | −$1 −9.4% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $303,000 on December 31?Ends in 78d | No | 8 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $7 | +$1 +24% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 9 | 66¢ → 75¢ | $7 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 8 | 40¢ → 82¢ | $6 | +$3 +104% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 8 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 9 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter release an album in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 9 | 70¢ → 66¢ | $6 | −$0 −6.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 25¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$4 +284% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 32 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $5 | −$1 −20% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 16 | 45¢ → 30¢ | $5 | −$2 −34% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 17¢ → 80¢ | $5 | +$4 +368% |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 75 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $5 | −$2 −31% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 25 | 67¢ → 19¢ | $5 | −$12 −72% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 72 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$9 −70% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 15 | 35¢ → 26¢ | $4 | −$1 −26% |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 37 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$1 −24% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 14 | 44¢ → 22¢ | $3 | −$3 −51% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 3 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $3 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 52¢ → 37¢ | $3 | −$1 −28% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 11 | 50¢ → 23¢ | $2 | −$3 −55% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 15 | 35¢ → 14¢ | $2 | −$3 −59% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 280d | Yes | 18 | 43¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$6 −80% |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 30¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$1 −58% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 5 | 35¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$1 −61% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 16 | 38¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$6 −90% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −90% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 45¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$2 −83% |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 15 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −63% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 4 | 28¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$1 −68% |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −66% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 16 | 41¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$6 −96% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?Ends in 433d | Yes | 8 | 21¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 44¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$2 −92% |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2 | 56¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Ends in 433d | Yes | 10 | 63¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$6 −98% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 6 | 41¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$2 −96% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −97% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 12 | 31¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 1d | Yes | 23 | 12¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 91 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by falling?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 955 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 169 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Evo Morales arrested by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 349 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$104 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Season 5 cancelled by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will "Anthropic" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a zombie?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
