Famous-Sovereignty

Polymarket wallet 0x86aac2dc1708b2b778d4507f9c5ba1058ad32682 · on Polymarket since Jan 25, 2026

Positions now worth: $168
All-time profit: +$34.3
Volume traded: $2.53K
All-time rank: #348,241
Markets traded: 699
Recent hit rate: 68%34 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $168

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	9	82¢ → 91¢	$8	+$1 +9.9%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	5	79¢ → 94¢	$5	+$1 +18%
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 69d	No	6	71¢ → 84¢	$5	+$1 +17%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?Ends in 2d	No	5	88¢ → 94¢	$4	+$0 +6.9%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d	Yes	7	60¢ → 62¢	$4	+$0 +3.2%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?Ends in 2d	Yes	4	98¢ → 99¢	$4	+$0 +1.1%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Ends in 2d	Yes	3	93¢ → 99¢	$3	+$0 +6.7%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?Ends in 2d	Yes	3	98¢ → 99¢	$3	+$0 +0.9%
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	4	81¢ → 82¢	$3	+$0 +0.9%
Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil?Ends in 2d	No	3	98¢ → 99¢	$3	+$0 +0.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	4	86¢ → 82¢	$3	−$0 −4.8%
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d	No	7	45¢ → 39¢	$3	−$0 −14%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	3	72¢ → 86¢	$2	+$0 +19%
Will Athletico Paranaense be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?Ends in 69d	No	3	98¢ → 76¢	$2	−$1 −22%
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?Ends in 100d	No	7	46¢ → 35¢	$2	−$1 −23%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?Ends in 2d	Yes	3	73¢ → 83¢	$2	+$0 +14%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	No	2	86¢ → 97¢	$2	+$0 +13%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Ends in 2d	Yes	2	88¢ → 99¢	$2	+$0 +12%
Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	No	2	88¢ → 97¢	$2	+$0 +11%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Ends in 8d	No	2	93¢ → 98¢	$2	+$0 +5.6%
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	No	2	93¢ → 98¢	$2	+$0 +5.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?Ends in 8d	No	2	95¢ → 99¢	$2	+$0 +4.4%
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	No	2	92¢ → 95¢	$2	+$0 +3.4%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Ends in 2d	Yes	2	96¢ → 98¢	$2	+$0 +2.4%
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Ends in 7d	Yes	4	52¢ → 53¢	$2	+$0 +1.9%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Ends in 2d	Yes	2	98¢ → >99¢	$2	+$0 +1.7%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d	No	2	97¢ → 98¢	$2	+$0 +1.7%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 2d	No	2	97¢ → 98¢	$2	+$0 +1.4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 2d	No	2	98¢ → 99¢	$2	+$0 +1.4%
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?Ends in 8d	No	2	96¢ → 97¢	$2	+$0 +1.3%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Ends in 2d	Yes	2	98¢ → 99¢	$2	+$0 +1.3%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?Ends in 2d	Yes	2	98¢ → 99¢	$2	+$0 +1.1%
Will Remo be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?Ends in 69d	Yes	2	98¢ → 98¢	$2	−$0 −0.1%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 43d	Yes	2	98¢ → 98¢	$2	−$0 −0.3%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Ends in 2d	Yes	2	93¢ → 90¢	$2	−$0 −2.9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	9	23¢ → 23¢	$2	−$0 −3.5%
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	3	79¢ → 76¢	$2	−$0 −3.8%
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Ends in 233d	Yes	3	65¢ → 63¢	$2	−$0 −3.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Ends in 8d	No	2	96¢ → 90¢	$2	−$0 −5.8%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Ends in 2d	Yes	2	82¢ → 73¢	$2	−$0 −11%
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Ends in 69d	No	2	83¢ → 73¢	$2	−$0 −12%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?Ends in 2d	No	2	83¢ → 73¢	$2	−$0 −13%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	2	62¢ → 94¢	$2	+$1 +51%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	2	61¢ → 92¢	$1	+$0 +50%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d	No	7	72¢ → 21¢	$1	−$4 −72%
Will Bahia be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?Ends in 69d	No	2	98¢ → 67¢	$1	−$1 −32%
Will Atlético Mineiro be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?Ends in 69d	No	2	98¢ → 64¢	$1	−$1 −35%
Will Fluminense be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?Ends in 69d	No	2	98¢ → 63¢	$1	−$1 −36%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	1	74¢ → 93¢	$1	+$0 +26%
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?Ends in 100d	No	4	48¢ → 29¢	$1	−$1 −39%
Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination?Ends in 89d	No	1	78¢ → 92¢	$1	+$0 +18%
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	1	72¢ → 84¢	$1	+$0 +16%
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d	No	1	86¢ → 97¢	$1	+$0 +13%
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?Ends in 8d	No	1	90¢ → >99¢	$1	+$0 +11%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Ends in 81d	No	1	79¢ → 87¢	$1	+$0 +9.9%
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	1	88¢ → 96¢	$1	+$0 +8.5%
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Ends in 800d	Yes	2	49¢ → 53¢	$1	+$0 +7.1%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	1	91¢ → 97¢	$1	+$0 +7.1%
Will Cruzeiro be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?Ends in 69d	No	2	98¢ → 52¢	$1	−$1 −47%
Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026?Ends in 58d	No	2	54¢ → 57¢	$1	+$0 +5.6%
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	No	1	94¢ → 99¢	$1	+$0 +5.2%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 100d	Yes	3	78¢ → 41¢	$1	−$1 −47%
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 4d	Yes	1	91¢ → 95¢	$1	+$0 +4.3%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d	No	1	90¢ → 94¢	$1	+$0 +4.2%
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	1	92¢ → 96¢	$1	+$0 +4.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?Ends in 8d	No	1	96¢ → 99¢	$1	+$0 +3.8%
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?Ends in 8d	No	1	96¢ → >99¢	$1	+$0 +3.7%
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	No	1	96¢ → 99¢	$1	+$0 +2.9%
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?Ends in 100d	No	5	20¢ → 21¢	$1	+$0 +2.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?Ends in 8d	No	1	97¢ → 99¢	$1	+$0 +2.1%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?Ends in 81d	No	1	95¢ → 97¢	$1	+$0 +2.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?Ends in 8d	No	1	97¢ → 99¢	$1	+$0 +2.0%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	1	93¢ → 95¢	$1	+$0 +1.9%
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	No	1	97¢ → 99¢	$1	+$0 +1.8%
US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	1	90¢ → 92¢	$1	+$0 +1.7%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	1	96¢ → 98¢	$1	+$0 +1.7%
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	1	89¢ → 91¢	$1	+$0 +1.3%
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	Yes	1	98¢ → 99¢	$1	+$0 +1.2%
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	No	1	82¢ → 83¢	$1	+$0 +1.2%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Ends in 2d	Yes	1	98¢ → 99¢	$1	+$0 +1.0%
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d	Yes	1	98¢ → 98¢	$1	−$0 −0.2%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?Ends in 8d	No	1	95¢ → 94¢	$1	−$0 −1.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	No	1	87¢ → 86¢	$1	−$0 −1.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	1	76¢ → 75¢	$1	−$0 −2.0%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	1	83¢ → 81¢	$1	−$0 −3.0%
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d	No	2	85¢ → 41¢	$1	−$1 −52%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	2	61¢ → 59¢	$1	−$0 −4.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	No	1	81¢ → 78¢	$1	−$0 −4.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?Ends in 8d	No	1	91¢ → 87¢	$1	−$0 −4.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	No	1	70¢ → 65¢	$1	−$0 −7.9%
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	1	82¢ → 76¢	$1	−$0 −7.9%
Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	1	79¢ → 72¢	$1	−$0 −9.5%
Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Ends in 7d	Yes	2	54¢ → 49¢	$1	−$0 −10%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d	No	1	88¢ → 78¢	$1	−$0 −11%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	1	77¢ → 65¢	$1	−$0 −16%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 8d	No	1	89¢ → 65¢	$1	−$0 −28%
Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?Ends in 100d	No	1	74¢ → 49¢	$1	−$0 −34%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	1	89¢ → 56¢	$1	−$0 −38%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	2	64¢ → 40¢	$1	−$0 −38%
SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreSettled - ready to redeem	Yes	5	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
1d	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	BuyCR Flamengo16¢	$1
1d	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-22?	BuyYes47¢	$2
1d	NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?	BuyNo82¢	$1
1d	Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	SellNo98¢	$5
1d	AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg: AS Monaco FC O/U 0.5 AND TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score AND Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Celtic FC O/U 0.5 AND AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 AND Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-10-22?	Buy15¢	$1
2d	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	BuyYes73¢	$2
2d	SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score	BuyYes44¢	$2
2d	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-22?	BuyYes61¢	$8
2d	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5 AND Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5 AND Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score AND Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs AND FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5 AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21? AND Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? AND Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21?	Buy18¢	$1
2d	Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5 AND Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Buy51¢	$1
2d	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? AND Will Reading FC win on 2026-10-21?	Buy29¢	$1
2d	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	BuyYes45¢	$2
3d	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BuyYes98¢	$2
3d	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score	BuyYes57¢	$2
3d	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	BuyYes52¢	$1
3d	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	BuyYes52¢	$1
3d	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	BuyYes54¢	$1
3d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?	BuyNo88¢	$4
3d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	BuyNo83¢	$2
3d	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 2.5 AND VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score AND Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 AND FC Porto vs. PSV: Both Teams to Score AND Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score AND AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 2.5	Buy18¢	$1
3d	Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5 AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Buy49¢	$1
4d	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Score	BuyYes41¢	$2
4d	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo92¢	$2
4d	Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?	BuyNo35¢	$1
4d	Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?	BuyNo34¢	$1
4d	Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?	BuyNo20¢	$1
4d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	BuyNo76¢	$1
4d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	BuyNo83¢	$1
4d	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	BuyNo83¢	$1
4d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	BuyYes89¢	$1
4d	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	BuyNo88¢	$1
4d	AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: Cagliari Calcio O/U 0.5 AND Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score AND Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31? AND Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?	Buy18¢	$1
4d	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC end in a draw?	BuyYes32¢	$2
4d	Jong PSV Eindhoven vs. FC Dordrecht: O/U 2.5 AND Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs. De Graafschap: O/U 2.5 AND Jong FC Utrecht vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 2.5	Buy32¢	$1
5d	Will Cruzeiro be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?	BuyNo98¢	$2
5d	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	SellNo95¢	$2
5d	EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5	BuyOver65¢	$2
5d	Will Bahia be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?	BuyNo98¢	$2
5d	Will Fluminense be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?	BuyNo98¢	$2
5d	Will Atlético Mineiro be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?	BuyNo98¢	$2
5d	Will Athletico Paranaense be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?	BuyNo98¢	$3
5d	Will Remo be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?	BuyYes98¢	$2
5d	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	BuyYes65¢	$2
5d	Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?	BuyNo77¢	$1
5d	Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo87¢	$2
5d	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	BuyYes66¢	$8
5d	Panthers vs. Eagles AND Bills vs. Raiders AND Ravens vs. Browns AND Steelers vs. Buccaneers	Buy14¢	$2
5d	FC Twente vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5 AND FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5	Buy50¢	$1
5d	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5 AND Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5	Buy48¢	$1
5d	Paris curfew by October 24?	BuyNo95¢	$1
5d	ACF Fiorentina vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? AND Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Buy20¢	$1
5d	Zaglebie Lubin vs. Jagiellonia Bialystok: Both Teams to Score AND FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score AND Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Score AND Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score AND KKS Lech Poznan vs. Korona Kielce: Both Teams to Score	Buy10¢	$1
6d	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-17?	BuyYes52¢	$2
6d	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	BuyNo70¢	$1
6d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	BuyNo90¢	$1
6d	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	BuyNo77¢	$1
6d	São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score	BuyYes53¢	$2
6d	Cowboys vs. Packers	BuyPackers52¢	$2
6d	Bills vs. Raiders	BuyBills68¢	$2
6d	Commanders vs. 49ers AND Cardinals vs. Rams AND Chargers vs. Chiefs	Buy54¢	$2

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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