| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $15 | −$1 −4.6% |
| Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 20 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $14 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 71¢ → 65¢ | $13 | −$1 −8.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 66¢ → 65¢ | $13 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 13 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $13 | +$2 +16% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $12 | +$2 +15% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 13 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $12 | +$1 +9.8% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 20 | 56¢ → 54¢ | $11 | −$0 −4.2% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 34¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$7 +194% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 21h | No | 10 | 37¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$6 +169% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 20 | 54¢ → 49¢ | $10 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$1 +12% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +8.8% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +8.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 14 | 72¢ → 66¢ | $9 | −$1 −8.7% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 69¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$2 +28% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 10 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.2% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 10 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 66¢ → 85¢ | $9 | +$2 +29% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 52¢ → 43¢ | $8 | −$2 −19% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $8 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 58¢ → 42¢ | $8 | −$3 −28% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 58¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$2 +43% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 70¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 65¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$2 +25% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $8 | −$0 −4.7% |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $8 | −$0 −3.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 20 | 48¢ → 40¢ | $8 | −$2 −17% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $8 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $8 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $8 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$6 +308% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | No | 13 | 64¢ → 60¢ | $8 | −$1 −6.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 29¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$5 +163% |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 10 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $8 | −$1 −9.0% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 76¢ | $8 | −$1 −11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $7 | −$0 −3.2% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 44¢ → 74¢ | $7 | +$3 +70% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 74¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 10 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 15 | 35¢ → 50¢ | $7 | +$2 +44% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 37¢ | $7 | −$1 −7.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 72¢ | $7 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 36¢ | $7 | −$1 −17% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 71¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $7 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 69¢ | $7 | +$0 +5.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 48¢ → 34¢ | $7 | −$3 −30% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 64¢ → 84¢ | $7 | +$2 +30% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $7 | +$0 +7.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 33¢ | $7 | −$2 −23% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 62¢ → 65¢ | $6 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 63¢ | $6 | −$1 −12% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 10 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 63¢ | $6 | −$1 −12% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $6 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 61¢ | $6 | −$1 −19% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 20 | 47¢ → 31¢ | $6 | −$3 −35% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 434d | No | 13 | 45¢ → 46¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14 | 39¢ → 42¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.4% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$2 −21% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 10 | 72¢ → 56¢ | $6 | −$2 −22% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 10 | 44¢ → 55¢ | $6 | +$1 +25% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$1 −9.8% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 28¢ | $5 | −$2 −30% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 8 | 33¢ → 67¢ | $5 | +$3 +102% |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 10 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 51¢ | $5 | −$0 −6.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 10 | 60¢ → 50¢ | $5 | −$1 −17% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 49¢ | $5 | −$1 −10% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 10 | 52¢ → 48¢ | $5 | −$0 −8.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 37¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$3 −38% |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 10 | 59¢ → 48¢ | $5 | −$1 −19% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 10 | 59¢ → 46¢ | $5 | −$1 −23% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $4 | −$1 −13% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 68¢ → 95¢ | $4 | +$1 +39% |
| Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 42¢ → 45¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 15 | 39¢ → 30¢ | $4 | −$1 −24% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 21h | No | 20 | 41¢ → 22¢ | $4 | −$4 −47% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 20 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$1 −16% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$6 −59% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 10 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 22¢ → 41¢ | $4 | +$2 +86% |
