| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 320 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $264 | −$11 −4.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 130 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $115 | +$12 +12% |
| Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$8 +9.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$14 +18% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 120 | 59¢ → 77¢ | $92 | +$22 +30% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$5 +5.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $83 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $74 | +$2 +2.8% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 58¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$19 +66% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 53¢ → 67¢ | $33 | +$7 +25% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 40 | 70¢ → 81¢ | $32 | +$4 +15% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 30 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $28 | +$2 +7.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 30 | 65¢ → 79¢ | $24 | +$4 +22% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 60¢ → 34¢ | $21 | −$15 −42% |
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 120 | 27¢ → 17¢ | $20 | −$12 −36% |
| 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 22 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $20 | +$2 +12% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$2 +10% |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$2 +9.9% |
| Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 100 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $16 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $16 | +$2 +11% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 20 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $16 | −$1 −5.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $15 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $14 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 53¢ → 68¢ | $14 | +$3 +28% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $14 | −$1 −7.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 63¢ → 66¢ | $13 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 20 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $13 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 20 | 57¢ → 61¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.1% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 2h | Yes | 150 | 45¢ → 8¢ | $12 | −$55 −82% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 100 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$2 −18% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 12 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 20 | 57¢ → 42¢ | $8 | −$3 −27% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 20 | 41¢ → 36¢ | $7 | −$1 −13% |
| Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $6 | $0 0.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 34¢ → 27¢ | $5 | −$2 −22% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 434d | Yes | 10 | 63¢ → 48¢ | $5 | −$2 −25% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 65¢ → 48¢ | $5 | −$2 −27% |
| Canada's population Up or Down this year?Ends in 189d | Up | 10 | 53¢ → 47¢ | $5 | −$1 −12% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 59¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$8 −67% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Ends in 158d | Yes | 44 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$2 −36% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 9 | 22¢ → 27¢ | $2 | +$0 +20% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 12¢ → 20¢ | $2 | +$1 +62% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$2 −53% |
| New pandemic before 2028?Ends in 434d | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$0 −23% |
| Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 117 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −46% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −74% |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 603 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$23 −99% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 30¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$3 −91% |
| Will Peter Milobar be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 2h | Yes | 170 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −98% |
| CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Sabres vs. CanadiensSettled - ready to redeem | Canadiens | 10 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 89 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Intel" or "Nvidia" during WEF Address on January 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Alex Pereira | 10 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Thunder vs. SpursSettled - ready to redeem | Spurs | 10 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Canadiens vs. HurricanesSettled - ready to redeem | Canadiens | 10 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |