| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 900 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $734 | +$43 +6.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 500 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $487 | −$2 −0.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 507 | 54¢ → 87¢ | $438 | +$165 +60% |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $385 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $380 | +$16 +4.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $366 | +$26 +7.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3,700 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $364 | −$124 −25% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 413 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $349 | +$3 +0.7% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 342 | 71¢ → 95¢ | $325 | +$83 +34% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | No | 400 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $306 | +$8 +2.7% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 300 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $295 | +$19 +7.0% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 300 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $295 | +$11 +4.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $289 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$13 +5.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $284 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$2 +0.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 300 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $278 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $274 | +$4 +1.7% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 300 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $272 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $257 | −$1 −0.2% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $257 | +$14 +5.6% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 248 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $247 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 75¢ → 81¢ | $242 | +$17 +7.3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $239 | +$6 +2.7% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 300 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $224 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 79¢ → 75¢ | $224 | −$14 −5.7% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 263 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $221 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 300 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $221 | +$10 +4.5% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 246 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $212 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 317 | 56¢ → 64¢ | $202 | +$23 +13% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 300 | 47¢ → 67¢ | $200 | +$59 +41% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 200 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$3 +1.3% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 4d | Yes | 200 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $191 | +$9 +4.9% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 300 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $190 | +$2 +0.8% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 208 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $190 | +$9 +5.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 218 | 91¢ → 87¢ | $189 | −$9 −4.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $187 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 14h | Yes | 250 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $177 | +$9 +5.3% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 81¢ → 88¢ | $176 | +$13 +8.0% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 200 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $167 | +$3 +1.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $159 | −$9 −5.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 175 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $157 | +$17 +12% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $155 | +$5 +3.3% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 200 | 55¢ → 74¢ | $147 | +$37 +34% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 66¢ → 73¢ | $145 | +$13 +9.8% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $139 | +$10 +7.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 150 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $137 | +$38 +38% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 68¢ | $135 | −$15 −10% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 200 | 76¢ → 67¢ | $133 | −$19 −13% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 300 | 49¢ → 41¢ | $122 | −$26 −17% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 28¢ → 39¢ | $116 | +$32 +38% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | No | 300 | 50¢ → 36¢ | $108 | −$43 −28% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 63¢ → >99¢ | $100 | +$37 +59% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 76¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$22 +29% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$7 +7.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $88 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 29¢ → 29¢ | $87 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 42¢ → 41¢ | $81 | −$3 −3.6% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $71 | +$5 +8.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 400 | 61¢ → 18¢ | $70 | −$173 −71% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 300 | 30¢ → 22¢ | $65 | −$26 −28% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 65 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $63 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 200 | 29¢ → 29¢ | $58 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 26¢ → 18¢ | $54 | −$24 −31% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 17¢ → 21¢ | $42 | +$8 +24% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 39¢ → 40¢ | $40 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 100 | 46¢ → 31¢ | $31 | −$16 −34% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $23 | −$5 −17% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 21 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$2 +8.7% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 2,000 | 22¢ → 1¢ | $15 | −$425 −97% |
| Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 53 | 38¢ → 27¢ | $14 | −$6 −29% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 3,783 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $13 | −$39 −75% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 13 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $11 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 31 | 24¢ → 26¢ | $8 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 100 | 88¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$82 −93% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 94 | 24¢ → 7¢ | $6 | −$16 −72% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 150 | 27¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$37 −92% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 200 | 19¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$35 −93% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$3 −58% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 42 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$4 −71% |
