| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 60 | 60¢ → 73¢ | $43 | +$7 +20% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | Yes | 40 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $35 | −$1 −1.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 67¢ → 83¢ | $29 | +$5 +23% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 27 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $25 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 31 | 49¢ → 83¢ | $25 | +$10 +69% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 26 | 95¢ → 91¢ | $23 | −$1 −4.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 26 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 17 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $17 | +$2 +14% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $16 | +$1 +6.1% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 20 | 69¢ → 79¢ | $16 | +$2 +14% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 19 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $16 | −$1 −3.4% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 18 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $15 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 16 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $15 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 525d | No | 15 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $14 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 63¢ → 84¢ | $13 | +$3 +34% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 14 | 73¢ → 92¢ | $13 | +$3 +25% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 17 | 59¢ → 74¢ | $12 | +$2 +25% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 42 | 12¢ → 28¢ | $12 | +$7 +133% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 11 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 15 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $11 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 11 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$2 +18% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 11 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $10 | +$1 +17% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 11 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 38¢ | $10 | +$5 +97% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 37 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $10 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 19 | 51¢ → 48¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.8% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $9 | −$1 −13% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 155 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $9 | −$1 −15% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 35 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $8 | −$2 −22% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | Yes | 26 | 38¢ → 30¢ | $8 | −$2 −22% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 63 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $7 | +$2 +48% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 8 | 64¢ → 93¢ | $7 | +$2 +45% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 95 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $7 | −$4 −38% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 7 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 159d | No | 7 | 70¢ → 97¢ | $7 | +$2 +38% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 26 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $7 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 69¢ → 94¢ | $7 | +$2 +36% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 16 | 32¢ → 43¢ | $7 | +$2 +34% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 281d | No | 7 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$1 +30% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 7 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 72 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $6 | +$1 +28% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 7 | 70¢ → 88¢ | $6 | +$1 +25% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | No | 7 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $6 | +$1 +19% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 16 | 31¢ → 36¢ | $6 | +$1 +16% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $6 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 36 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $6 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 6 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 6 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 7 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 6 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.4% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Ends in 11d | No | 7 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 132 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | No | 7 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 23, 2026?Ends in 2h | No | 5 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 7 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.6% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 6 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 434d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.4% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 11 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | No | 7 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 0%-5%?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 185 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 11d | No | 6 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 434d | No | 6 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.2% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 67 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $5 | +$2 +50% |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028?Ends in 616d | Yes | 5 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.0% |
