| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 5 | 20¢ → 70¢ | $4 | +$3 +252% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 23?Ends ended | No | 3 | 32¢ → >99¢ | $3 | +$2 +212% |
| Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 24¢ → 50¢ | $2 | +$1 +108% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 7 | 14¢ → 22¢ | $2 | +$1 +57% |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Ends in 158d | No | 6 | 17¢ → 23¢ | $1 | +$0 +35% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 3 | 29¢ → 39¢ | $1 | +$0 +35% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Ends in 7d | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $1 | +$0 +31% |
| Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?Ends in 10d | No | 30 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $1 | +$0 +26% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 6 | 17¢ → 20¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 5 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 4 | 28¢ → 31¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 21¢ → 23¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.5% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 4h | No | 4 | 28¢ → 31¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 5 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 8 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 8 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 8 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 34¢ → 35¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 6 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 3 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 31¢ → 32¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 34¢ → 33¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 10d | No | 11 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $1 | −$0 −30% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | No | 5 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$0 −5.3% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 3d | No | 5 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 4 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 38¢ → 35¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 5 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.9% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 6 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$0 −9.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 19 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 26 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Ends in 35d | No | 7 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$0 −13% |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 18 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −16% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 11 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$0 −17% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 28 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −17% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 4 | 24¢ → 20¢ | $1 | −$0 −19% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$0 −21% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$0 −22% |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 8 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$0 −23% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$0 −25% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 6 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$0 −26% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | No | 8 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$0 −29% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 4 | 23¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$0 −29% |
| Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 17 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −32% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 31¢ → 21¢ | $1 | −$0 −32% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 4d | No | 6 | 18¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$0 −39% |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Ends in 4h | No | 5 | 21¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$0 −40% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | No | 7 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$0 −43% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 8 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$0 −50% |
| Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −61% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 4 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$1 −61% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 7 | 14¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −61% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 1d | No | 3 | 32¢ → 13¢ | $0 | −$1 −61% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −62% |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 433d | No | 7 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −67% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 98d | No | 8 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −69% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −74% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 7 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −78% |
| Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −82% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 158d | No | 3 | 33¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 4h | No | 8 | 13¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −90% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 42¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 45 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 34 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
