| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Ends in 128d | No | 50 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $42 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $42 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$5 −12% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $35 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | Yes | 50 | 71¢ → 69¢ | $35 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 67¢ | $33 | −$5 −13% |
| Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Ends in 159d | Yes | 40 | 86¢ → 81¢ | $32 | −$2 −6.4% |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Ends in 159d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 64¢ | $32 | −$5 −13% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $31 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $323,000 and $327,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 40 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $30 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 62¢ → 58¢ | $29 | −$2 −6.5% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 40 | 77¢ → 72¢ | $29 | −$2 −6.6% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 50 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $28 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Ends in 115d | No | 40 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $28 | $0 0.0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 72¢ → 64¢ | $25 | −$3 −12% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Ends in 73d | Yes | 40 | 73¢ → 62¢ | $25 | −$4 −15% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 56 | 46¢ → 45¢ | $25 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?Ends in 127d | Yes | 40 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $24 | −$2 −6.9% |
| Will Notre Dame be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?Ends in 58d | Yes | 40 | 69¢ → 61¢ | $24 | −$3 −12% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 48¢ → 47¢ | $23 | −$1 −3.1% |
| Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Ends in 155d | No | 40 | 77¢ → 57¢ | $23 | −$8 −25% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 54¢ → 45¢ | $23 | −$5 −17% |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?Ends in 250d | No | 50 | 49¢ → 44¢ | $22 | −$3 −11% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 77¢ → 43¢ | $21 | −$17 −44% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 65¢ → 53¢ | $21 | −$5 −18% |
| Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?Ends in 127d | No | 40 | 72¢ → 53¢ | $21 | −$8 −27% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 43¢ → 42¢ | $21 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 41¢ → 21¢ | $21 | −$20 −49% |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?Ends in 250d | Yes | 41 | 54¢ → 49¢ | $20 | −$2 −9.2% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 42¢ → 38¢ | $19 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Trevor Lawrence have 4,024.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 40 | 62¢ → 46¢ | $18 | −$6 −26% |
| Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 50 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $18 | $0 0.0% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 82¢ → 35¢ | $17 | −$24 −58% |
| Will BYU have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | No | 40 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $17 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Ends in 83d | No | 40 | 75¢ → 41¢ | $16 | −$14 −45% |
| Will Nico Collins have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | Yes | 24 | 71¢ → 68¢ | $16 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 75¢ → 45¢ | $16 | −$11 −41% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 40 | 72¢ → 40¢ | $16 | −$13 −44% |
| Will TCU have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | No | 40 | 69¢ → 40¢ | $16 | −$12 −43% |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 60¢ → 38¢ | $15 | −$9 −37% |
| Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 80d | Yes | 40 | 65¢ → 37¢ | $15 | −$11 −43% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 36¢ → 29¢ | $15 | −$4 −19% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $14 | −$3 −19% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $14 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 38¢ → 33¢ | $13 | −$2 −14% |
| Will South Africa win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group D?Ends in 158d | No | 40 | 39¢ → 32¢ | $13 | −$3 −19% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $12 | −$1 −5.8% |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 55d | Yes | 40 | 43¢ → 31¢ | $12 | −$5 −29% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 33¢ → 30¢ | $12 | −$1 −11% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 28¢ → 24¢ | $12 | −$2 −16% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 49 | 68¢ → 23¢ | $11 | −$22 −66% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $11 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 26¢ → 21¢ | $10 | −$3 −21% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 95d | Yes | 50 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.9% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 17¢ | $9 | −$30 −78% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 61¢ → 17¢ | $8 | −$22 −73% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 434d | Yes | 50 | 38¢ → 17¢ | $8 | −$11 −57% |
| Will Washington State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | Yes | 40 | 44¢ → 20¢ | $8 | −$10 −55% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 35¢ | $7 | −$1 −6.8% |
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 41¢ → 13¢ | $7 | −$14 −68% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 37¢ → 13¢ | $6 | −$12 −66% |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?Ends in 174d | Yes | 40 | 20¢ → 15¢ | $6 | −$2 −25% |
| Will Cameroon win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group G?Ends in 158d | No | 40 | 35¢ → 14¢ | $5 | −$9 −61% |
| Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$10 −67% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 41¢ → 13¢ | $5 | −$11 −70% |
| Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 30 | 38¢ → 17¢ | $5 | −$6 −57% |
| Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 78¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$1 +26% |
| Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Ends in 94d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.0% |
| Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?Ends in 36d | No | 5 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$1 +24% |
| Will Logitech G Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award?Ends in 52d | Yes | 40 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $5 | −$2 −32% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +12% |
| Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.8% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 128d | Yes | 50 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $5 | −$2 −31% |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $4 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Aaron Jones have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | No | 40 | 55¢ → 11¢ | $4 | −$18 −81% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $4 | +$0 +14% |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.3% |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 88¢ → 82¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.8% |
| Will Ole Miss have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Ends in 64d | No | 6 | 79¢ → 68¢ | $4 | −$1 −15% |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$0 +15% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.6% |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 45¢ → 83¢ | $4 | +$2 +83% |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 4 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $4 | +$0 +9.3% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 32 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $4 | −$2 −36% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 4 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?Ends in 250d | Yes | 40 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $4 | −$4 −50% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $4 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$0 +9.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $3 | +$1 +18% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 86¢ → 74¢ | $3 | −$1 −14% |
| Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 3 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $3 | +$0 +11% |
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4 | 61¢ → 87¢ | $3 | +$1 +43% |
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $3 | +$0 +8.4% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 19 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $3 | −$0 −13% |
| Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3 | 0¢ → 98¢ | $3 | +$3 +0.0% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 128d | No | 4 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $3 | +$0 +7.4% |
| Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 40 | 18¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$4 −58% |
