| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 9,106 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $8,423 | +$443 +5.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 2,165 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $1,645 | −$5 −0.3% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 2,794 | 89¢ → 46¢ | $1,289 | −$1,211 −48% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,282 | 31¢ → 89¢ | $1,135 | +$735 +184% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 67d | No | 1,505 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $1,076 | +$76 +7.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,513 | 66¢ → 65¢ | $988 | −$15 −1.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | No | 1,234 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $981 | −$19 −1.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | No | 1,167 | 43¢ → 52¢ | $607 | +$107 +21% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 429 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $401 | +$1 +0.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 297 | 67¢ → 86¢ | $254 | +$54 +27% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 257 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $249 | +$49 +24% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 250 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $243 | +$43 +21% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 226 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $223 | +$23 +12% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 213 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $206 | +$6 +3.2% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 441 | 68¢ → 46¢ | $201 | −$99 −33% |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 58¢ → 98¢ | $197 | +$81 +70% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 36d | No | 299 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $193 | −$7 −3.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 896 | 46¢ → 19¢ | $166 | −$244 −60% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 169 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $156 | +$36 +30% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 159 | 63¢ → 95¢ | $150 | +$50 +50% |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 153 | 65¢ → 97¢ | $148 | +$48 +48% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 146 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $139 | +$19 +16% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 216 | 46¢ → 64¢ | $137 | +$37 +37% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 530 | 38¢ → 25¢ | $132 | −$68 −34% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 192 | 52¢ → 67¢ | $128 | +$28 +28% |
| Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 128 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $124 | +$24 +24% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 130 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $122 | +$22 +22% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 123 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $120 | +$20 +20% |
| Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 122 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $118 | +$18 +18% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 116 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $116 | +$16 +16% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 189 | 53¢ → 60¢ | $112 | +$12 +12% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 114 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $111 | +$11 +11% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 111 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $110 | +$10 +9.5% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 68d | No | 115 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $108 | +$8 +7.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 164 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $107 | +$7 +6.6% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 108 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $106 | +$6 +5.6% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 106 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $105 | +$5 +5.0% |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 106 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $104 | +$4 +4.3% |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 105 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $104 | +$4 +3.6% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 105 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $102 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 106 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $101 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 159 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $99 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 6d | No | 105 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $99 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 106 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $99 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 117 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $98 | −$2 −2.2% |
| Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 110 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $96 | −$4 −4.2% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 130 | 77¢ → 73¢ | $94 | −$6 −5.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 157 | 64¢ → 59¢ | $92 | −$8 −7.5% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 107 | 93¢ → 84¢ | $90 | −$10 −9.8% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 158d | Yes | 118 | 85¢ → 76¢ | $89 | −$11 −11% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 112 | 89¢ → 77¢ | $86 | −$14 −14% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 588 | 68¢ → 14¢ | $85 | −$315 −79% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 417 | 24¢ → 19¢ | $77 | −$23 −23% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | Yes | 270 | 37¢ → 28¢ | $74 | −$26 −26% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 385 | 26¢ → 18¢ | $67 | −$33 −33% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 333 | 30¢ → 19¢ | $62 | −$38 −38% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 673 | 45¢ → 9¢ | $57 | −$243 −81% |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 113 | 89¢ → 49¢ | $55 | −$45 −45% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 52 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $51 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 158d | Yes | 832 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $46 | −$54 −54% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,111 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $42 | −$158 −79% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 183 | 66¢ → 19¢ | $35 | −$86 −71% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 522 | 46¢ → 6¢ | $29 | −$209 −88% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 129 | 78¢ → 22¢ | $28 | −$72 −72% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,031 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $24 | −$76 −76% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 417 | 24¢ → 6¢ | $23 | −$77 −77% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 990 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $22 | −$78 −78% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 22 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $22 | +$2 +7.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 25 | 41¢ → 84¢ | $20 | +$10 +105% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 137 | 73¢ → 15¢ | $20 | −$80 −80% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 225 | 44¢ → 8¢ | $18 | −$82 −82% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 280d | No | 18 | 57¢ → 92¢ | $16 | +$6 +61% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 196 | 51¢ → 7¢ | $14 | −$86 −86% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 20 | 50¢ → 67¢ | $13 | +$3 +33% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 27 | 37¢ → 44¢ | $12 | +$2 +21% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 42d | No | 11 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 10 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $9 | −$1 −10.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $7 | −$3 −35% |
| Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 11 | 92¢ → 56¢ | $6 | −$4 −40% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | No | 550 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$97 −97% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 67d | No | 15 | 65¢ → 20¢ | $3 | −$7 −70% |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$7 −74% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 34 | 29¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$7 −74% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 15 | 69¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$8 −75% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 1,429 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$8 −79% |
| Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 101 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$8 −81% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 71d | Yes | 20 | 49¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$8 −85% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 42d | Yes | 23 | 44¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Golden KnightsSettled - ready to redeem | Maple Leafs | 135 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Warriors vs. LakersSettled - ready to redeem | Lakers | 8 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ravens vs. CowboysSettled - ready to redeem | Cowboys | 185 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Raiders vs. ChargersSettled - ready to redeem | Chargers | 14 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 175 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Memphis vs. TulaneSettled - ready to redeem | Memphis | 248 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Kraken vs. Red WingsSettled - ready to redeem | Red Wings | 834 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Saints vs. RavensSettled - ready to redeem | Ravens | 13 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
