| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 201 | 65¢ → 67¢ | $134 | +$4 +2.8% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 183 | 65¢ → 72¢ | $132 | +$12 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 183 | 49¢ → 62¢ | $112 | +$22 +25% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 8h | Yes | 148 | 68¢ → 71¢ | $105 | +$5 +4.9% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 228 | 22¢ → 45¢ | $102 | +$52 +103% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 118 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $92 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 201 | 20¢ → 44¢ | $89 | +$49 +122% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | No | 103 | 68¢ → 73¢ | $75 | +$5 +6.9% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 208 | 29¢ → 34¢ | $71 | +$11 +18% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 112 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $71 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 52d | No | 257 | 23¢ → 27¢ | $68 | +$8 +14% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 101 | 69¢ → 66¢ | $66 | −$4 −5.2% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 93 | 65¢ → 70¢ | $64 | +$4 +7.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 90 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $58 | −$2 −3.0% |
| Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?Ends in 8h | No | 49 | 61¢ → >99¢ | $49 | +$19 +63% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 54 | 37¢ → 90¢ | $49 | +$29 +145% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 249d | Yes | 102 | 49¢ → 44¢ | $44 | −$6 −12% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 63 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $42 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 230 | 13¢ → 17¢ | $40 | +$10 +32% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 50¢ → 64¢ | $38 | +$8 +28% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 35d | No | 60 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $38 | −$2 −4.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 52 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 88 | 34¢ → 39¢ | $34 | +$4 +13% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 48 | 62¢ → 70¢ | $34 | +$4 +12% |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 39 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $33 | +$3 +9.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 42 | 72¢ → 79¢ | $33 | +$3 +9.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 8h | Yes | 33 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $33 | +$3 +8.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Ends in 10d | Yes | 71 | 42¢ → 46¢ | $33 | +$3 +8.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 71 | 42¢ → 45¢ | $32 | +$2 +7.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 81 | 37¢ → 40¢ | $32 | +$2 +6.8% |
| Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?Ends in 8h | Yes | 38 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.6% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 68d | No | 39 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $31 | +$1 +4.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 38 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $31 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 31 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $31 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 73 | 41¢ → 41¢ | $30 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 42 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $30 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $29 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 35d | No | 90 | 22¢ → 32¢ | $29 | +$9 +45% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 250 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $29 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 143 | 14¢ → 18¢ | $25 | +$5 +25% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 125 | 24¢ → 20¢ | $25 | −$5 −17% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 71 | 14¢ → 34¢ | $24 | +$14 +139% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 1d | Yes | 143 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $24 | −$6 −21% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 25 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 6d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $23 | +$3 +14% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 111 | 18¢ → 21¢ | $23 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 26 | 77¢ → 86¢ | $22 | +$2 +11% |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 105d | Yes | 173 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $22 | −$8 −26% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 22 | 23¢ → 98¢ | $21 | +$16 +324% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 24 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 23 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 32 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $20 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 20¢ → 39¢ | $20 | +$10 +95% |
| Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?Ends in 2d | Yes | 21 | 53¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$8 +76% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 24 | 84¢ → 78¢ | $19 | −$1 −7.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 33 | 15¢ → 55¢ | $18 | +$13 +263% |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Ends in 36d | Yes | 60 | 50¢ → 30¢ | $18 | −$12 −40% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 3d | No | 35 | 56¢ → 48¢ | $17 | −$3 −14% |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Ends in 10d | Yes | 73 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $16 | −$4 −18% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 80¢ | $16 | +$6 +57% |
| Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?Ends in 8h | Yes | 62 | 48¢ → 25¢ | $16 | −$14 −48% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 29 | 51¢ → 51¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 36d | No | 63 | 16¢ → 24¢ | $15 | +$5 +47% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 21 | 71¢ → 69¢ | $15 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 58 | 17¢ → 24¢ | $14 | +$4 +38% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 16 | 61¢ → 83¢ | $14 | +$4 +36% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 66¢ | $13 | +$3 +31% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 38 | 26¢ → 34¢ | $13 | +$3 +31% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?Ends in 17d | No | 115 | 26¢ → 11¢ | $13 | −$17 −58% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 14 | 73¢ → 92¢ | $13 | +$3 +26% |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 2d | Yes | 68 | 15¢ → 18¢ | $12 | +$2 +25% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 3d | No | 84 | 24¢ → 14¢ | $12 | −$8 −39% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 43 | 23¢ → 28¢ | $12 | +$2 +22% |
| Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 42 | 24¢ → 29¢ | $12 | +$2 +21% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?Ends in 249d | Yes | 14 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$2 +19% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 45 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 12 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 69 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 11¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?Ends in 9d | No | 12 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 8h | No | 11 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 2d | Yes | 36 | 28¢ → 29¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 1d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 11 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 21 | 48¢ → 47¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 48 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $10 | −$0 −4.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 32 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $10 | −$0 −4.8% |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 12 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $9 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 333 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $9 | −$21 −69% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 433d | No | 12 | 84¢ → 78¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 27 | 38¢ → 34¢ | $9 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 433d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 75¢ | $9 | −$1 −12% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 158 | 38¢ → 6¢ | $9 | −$51 −86% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 8h | No | 29 | 34¢ → 29¢ | $8 | −$2 −16% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 34 | 29¢ → 25¢ | $8 | −$2 −16% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 42 | 24¢ → 20¢ | $8 | −$2 −16% |
