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Polymarket wallet 0x8360eaef1989ce114edd25fb9ca2e4b194ac50a4 · on Polymarket since Mar 27, 2025 · also shown as Knowledgeable-Stair
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BuyYes21¢ | $21 |
| 8d | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | BuyNo71¢ | $10 |
| 8d | Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BuyNo80¢ | $5 |
| 10d | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BuyNo92¢ | $10 |
| 10d | Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | SellYes79¢ | $43 |
| 15d | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BuyNo92¢ | $10 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BuyUp14¢ | $5 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | SellDown38¢ | $0 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | SellDown40¢ | $5 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BuyDown36¢ | $5 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | SellUp77¢ | $8 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $5 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BuyDown3¢ | $5 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | SellUp35¢ | $8 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BuyUp21¢ | $5 |
| 21d | Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 27d | Iowa vs. Michigan | BuyMichigan93¢ | $5 |
| 27d | Trump renames AI by December 31? | BuyNo47¢ | $5 |
| 28d | Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group C AND Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #2 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #2 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs | Buy73¢ | $5 |
| 30d | Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BuyYes29¢ | $10 |
| 30d | Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SellYes93¢ | $33 |
| 30d | Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BuyYes41¢ | $8 |
| 58d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | BuyYes67¢ | $5 |
| 58d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo81¢ | $10 |
| 62d | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BuyNo69¢ | $5 |
| 62d | Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Luca Pow AND Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs AND Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Neil Oberleitner AND Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-08-22? AND Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22? AND Will AZ win on 2026-08-22? | Buy58¢ | $5 |
| 62d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SellDown46¢ | $7 |
| 62d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown33¢ | $5 |
| 62d | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellYes23¢ | $14 |
| 97d | Estoril Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Joao Dinis Silva AND Rome: Lucia Bronzetti vs Nuria Brancaccio AND Generali Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Andrey Chepelev AND Granby (Doubles): Reynolds/Watt vs Dalmasso/Kuhar AND LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs AND Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Victoria Bervid vs Rina Saigo | Buy46¢ | $2 |
| 98d | Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs AND Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs DarkZero Esports (BO3) - North America League Stage 1 Playoffs AND Granby (Doubles): Reynolds/Watt vs Poling/Trotter AND Istanbul 2 (Doubles): Shibahara/Zvonareva vs Falei/Iatcenko AND Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Series #2 Playoffs | Buy57¢ | $5 |
| 99d | Lincoln: James McCabe vs Bernard Tomic AND Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs AND Pozoblanco: Ilya Ivashka vs Aziz Ouakaa AND Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Carole Monnet AND Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisan AND Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-16? | Buy78¢ | $5 |
| 100d | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BuyNo69¢ | $10 |
| 101d | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes39¢ | $10 |
| 102d | Swedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrov AND Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival | Buy69¢ | $2 |
| 103d | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes20¢ | $12 |
| 105d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SellDown53¢ | $10 |
| 105d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BuyDown26¢ | $5 |
| 105d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SellDown54¢ | $6 |
| 105d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BuyDown44¢ | $5 |
| 105d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SellDown7¢ | $1 |
| 105d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BuyDown47¢ | $5 |
| 105d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SellUp50¢ | $6 |
| 105d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BuyUp38¢ | $5 |
| 105d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SellNo92¢ | $11 |
| 106d | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BuyYes7¢ | $5 |
| 114d | Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 118d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BuyUp45¢ | $5 |
| 118d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyUp18¢ | $5 |
| 118d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BuyUp46¢ | $5 |
| 119d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | SellUp49¢ | $6 |
| 119d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BuyUp39¢ | $5 |
| 119d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | SellDown66¢ | $8 |
| 119d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BuyDown39¢ | $5 |
| 119d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | SellDown58¢ | $6 |
| 119d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BuyDown49¢ | $5 |
| 119d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | SellUp52¢ | $5 |
| 119d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BuyUp47¢ | $5 |
| 119d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BuyDown42¢ | $5 |
| 119d | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BuyUp32¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.