| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 15 | 39¢ → 38¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 167 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$2 −26% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 31 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $4 | −$1 −16% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 16d | Yes | 33 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$0 −5.6% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 68 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$0 −16% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 450 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$1 −47% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 53 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$0 −45% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$2 −78% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 143 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −93% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 142 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 537 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on November 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 92 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 118 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 180 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 138 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,336 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 55 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 291 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 244 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will anyone say "Predict" or "Prediction" 10+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,917 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 214 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 292 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 133 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 116 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 84 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 578 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 317 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 179 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 236 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| French election called by October 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on November 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 73 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 101 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 323 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 359 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,825 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 63 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Powell say "China" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 140 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 494 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 223 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,700 and $3,800 on November 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 58 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 504 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 294 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
