| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5,091 | 35¢ → 91¢ | $4,607 | +$2,843 +161% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 5,025 | 65¢ → 23¢ | $1,163 | −$2,080 −64% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 4,334 | 45¢ → 24¢ | $1,019 | −$929 −48% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 967 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $743 | +$70 +10% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 512 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $497 | +$86 +21% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 394 | 55¢ → 93¢ | $365 | +$147 +67% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 275 | 41¢ → 94¢ | $257 | +$145 +129% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 259 | 62¢ → 90¢ | $233 | +$74 +46% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 225 | 49¢ → 81¢ | $181 | +$71 +65% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 254 | 35¢ → 67¢ | $169 | +$80 +90% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 128 | 25¢ → 85¢ | $108 | +$77 +244% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 188 | 62¢ → 55¢ | $104 | −$13 −11% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 141 | 61¢ → 73¢ | $102 | +$17 +20% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 119 | 64¢ → 70¢ | $83 | +$7 +8.9% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 241 | 35¢ → 31¢ | $74 | −$11 −13% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 77 | 41¢ → 91¢ | $70 | +$38 +122% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 132 | 47¢ → 50¢ | $67 | +$4 +7.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 134 | 46¢ → 47¢ | $62 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?Ends in 69d | No | 171 | 35¢ → 36¢ | $61 | +$2 +3.5% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Ends in 68d | No | 61 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $57 | +$3 +6.0% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 175 | 44¢ → 31¢ | $53 | −$23 −30% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 118 | 43¢ → 45¢ | $53 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 99 | 62¢ → 54¢ | $53 | −$8 −14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 65 | 56¢ → 81¢ | $52 | +$16 +44% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 59 | 37¢ → 87¢ | $52 | +$30 +136% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 86 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $51 | −$2 −4.0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 294 | 7¢ → 16¢ | $45 | +$25 +121% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 66 | 72¢ → 64¢ | $43 | −$5 −10% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 66 | 70¢ → 64¢ | $42 | −$4 −8.4% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 50 | 55¢ → 84¢ | $42 | +$15 +53% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 149 | 16¢ → 28¢ | $41 | +$17 +71% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 93 | 20¢ → 43¢ | $40 | +$22 +121% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Ends in 100d | No | 69 | 30¢ → 57¢ | $39 | +$18 +89% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 77¢ → 96¢ | $37 | +$7 +25% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 91 | 38¢ → 37¢ | $34 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 163 | 18¢ → 21¢ | $33 | +$4 +14% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 35 | 36¢ → 94¢ | $33 | +$20 +162% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?Ends in 5d | No | 59 | 56¢ → 54¢ | $32 | −$1 −3.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 47¢ → 92¢ | $31 | +$15 +96% |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 82 | 18¢ → 38¢ | $31 | +$16 +110% |
| Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?Ends in 53d | No | 77 | 61¢ → 39¢ | $30 | −$17 −36% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 89¢ → 82¢ | $28 | −$3 −8.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 30 | 46¢ → 93¢ | $28 | +$14 +101% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 29 | 26¢ → 91¢ | $27 | +$19 +248% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 69 | 41¢ → 39¢ | $26 | −$2 −6.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 37 | 59¢ → 66¢ | $25 | +$3 +12% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 106 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $24 | −$2 −8.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $24 | +$3 +12% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 233 | 18¢ → 10¢ | $23 | −$18 −44% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 88 | 22¢ → 26¢ | $23 | +$4 +22% |
| Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday?Ends in 100d | No | 35 | 43¢ → 65¢ | $23 | +$8 +51% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 26 | 42¢ → 83¢ | $22 | +$11 +97% |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $21 | +$2 +11% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Ends in 68d | No | 34 | 47¢ → 62¢ | $21 | +$5 +31% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 23 | 67¢ → 86¢ | $20 | +$4 +28% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$3 +16% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 25 | 57¢ → 78¢ | $19 | +$5 +37% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 27 | 51¢ → 70¢ | $19 | +$5 +36% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 111 | 22¢ → 17¢ | $18 | −$6 −23% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 114 | 12¢ → 16¢ | $18 | +$4 +29% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 207 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $18 | −$18 −50% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 87 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $17 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 19 | 42¢ → 88¢ | $16 | +$8 +108% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 82 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $16 | −$2 −11% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 16 | 50¢ → 92¢ | $15 | +$7 +83% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 167 | 38¢ → 9¢ | $14 | −$50 −78% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $14 | +$2 +16% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 43¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$8 +133% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 14 | 46¢ → 93¢ | $13 | +$7 +102% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 143 | 14¢ → 9¢ | $13 | −$7 −37% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | No | 75 | 68¢ → 17¢ | $12 | −$39 −76% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 18 | 55¢ → 67¢ | $12 | +$2 +21% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 43¢ → 86¢ | $11 | +$6 +99% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?Ends in 5d | Yes | 36 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?Ends in 5d | No | 26 | 47¢ → 43¢ | $11 | −$1 −9.6% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 64 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $10 | −$1 −9.0% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 59¢ → 64¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 12 | 49¢ → 81¢ | $10 | +$4 +64% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +16% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 40¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$5 +132% |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Ends in 68d | Yes | 23 | 26¢ → 39¢ | $9 | +$3 +48% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 44 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $9 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 8 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 46 | 39¢ → 16¢ | $7 | −$11 −60% |
| Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?Ends in 100d | No | 31 | 17¢ → 23¢ | $7 | +$2 +31% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 71 | 24¢ → 10¢ | $7 | −$10 −58% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 62 | 29¢ → 12¢ | $7 | −$11 −60% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 128 | 33¢ → 6¢ | $7 | −$36 −83% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 15 | 45¢ → 46¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 57¢ → 85¢ | $7 | +$2 +49% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 183 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $7 | −$19 −74% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 14 | 52¢ → 48¢ | $7 | −$1 −8.7% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 7 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$1 +27% |
| Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?Ends in 100d | No | 18 | 43¢ → 36¢ | $6 | −$1 −17% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 37 | 27¢ → 17¢ | $6 | −$4 −38% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 92 | 16¢ → 7¢ | $6 | −$9 −60% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 11 | 47¢ → 54¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 44 | 28¢ → 13¢ | $6 | −$7 −55% |