| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 200 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $149 | +$1 +0.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 195 | 38¢ → 34¢ | $65 | −$9 −12% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 200 | 28¢ → 30¢ | $59 | +$3 +5.4% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 95 | 50¢ → 59¢ | $55 | +$8 +16% |
| Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 100 | 55¢ → 54¢ | $54 | −$2 −2.7% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 200 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $39 | −$7 −15% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 37 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $36 | +$2 +6.3% |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 70 | 32¢ → 48¢ | $33 | +$11 +48% |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 86 | 41¢ → 36¢ | $31 | −$4 −12% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 43 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $29 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | No | 37 | 71¢ → 65¢ | $24 | −$2 −8.5% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 28 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $21 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Ends in 250d | Yes | 45 | 42¢ → 45¢ | $20 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 21 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $20 | +$3 +21% |
| Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?Ends in 69d | Yes | 19 | 48¢ → 93¢ | $18 | +$9 +93% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 45 | 63¢ → 40¢ | $18 | −$10 −37% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 22h | No | 19 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $16 | +$5 +40% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 25 | 53¢ → 60¢ | $15 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 18 | 54¢ → 80¢ | $15 | +$5 +47% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 37¢ → 28¢ | $14 | −$4 −23% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 14 | 39¢ → 98¢ | $14 | +$8 +155% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Ends in 434d | No | 13 | 14¢ → 100¢ | $13 | +$11 +611% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 30 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $12 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will Anaheim Ducks advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Ends in 193d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$4 −30% |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 68¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +44% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 64¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$3 +53% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 50 | 69¢ → 19¢ | $10 | −$25 −72% |
| Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 159d | Yes | 10 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$2 +24% |
| Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Ends in 174d | No | 9 | 58¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$3 +63% |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 9 | 67¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$3 +46% |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Ends in 159d | No | 24 | 36¢ → 37¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 14 | 61¢ → 62¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?Ends in 1165d | Yes | 62 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $8 | −$7 −46% |
| Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?Ends in 52d | No | 10 | 51¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$3 +60% |
| Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Ends ended | Yes | 8 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 18 | 44¢ → 44¢ | $8 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 10 | 45¢ → 75¢ | $7 | +$3 +66% |
| Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 33 | 38¢ → 22¢ | $7 | −$5 −42% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 9 | 64¢ → 78¢ | $7 | +$1 +21% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 47d | Yes | 15 | 47¢ → 46¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Ends in 6d | No | 7 | 74¢ → 91¢ | $7 | +$1 +23% |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 61¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$2 +61% |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 56d | Yes | 7 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$1 +25% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 23 | 45¢ → 27¢ | $6 | −$4 −40% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 23 | 35¢ → 27¢ | $6 | −$2 −25% |
| Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 16 | 56¢ → 39¢ | $6 | −$3 −31% |
| Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Ends in 22h | Yes | 10 | 45¢ → 61¢ | $6 | +$2 +36% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $6 | +$1 +20% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 35¢ → 77¢ | $6 | +$3 +119% |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → 58¢ | $6 | +$2 +45% |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 8 | 77¢ → 73¢ | $6 | −$0 −6.0% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 22h | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$2 −25% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 22h | No | 20 | 38¢ → 28¢ | $6 | −$2 −25% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 47¢ → 57¢ | $6 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 7 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Ends in 79d | Yes | 9 | 52¢ → 67¢ | $6 | +$1 +28% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 56¢ | $6 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d | No | 7 | 57¢ → 79¢ | $6 | +$2 +38% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1165d | No | 15 | 54¢ → 37¢ | $6 | −$3 −33% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 25 | 48¢ → 22¢ | $6 | −$6 −54% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $6 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends ended | Yes | 6 | 59¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$2 +56% |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 8 | 17¢ → 63¢ | $5 | +$4 +268% |
| Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 8 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 24d | No | 10 | 40¢ → 50¢ | $5 | +$1 +25% |
| Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 159d | No | 5 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Ends in 433d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 26¢ | $5 | −$2 −31% |
| Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 5 | 65¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$2 +53% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 59¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$2 +68% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6 | 59¢ → 83¢ | $5 | +$1 +40% |
| Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 10 | 47¢ → 49¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 64 | 38¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$19 −80% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 11 | 60¢ → 43¢ | $5 | −$2 −28% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 7 | 49¢ → 67¢ | $5 | +$1 +36% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 44¢ → 65¢ | $5 | +$1 +47% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 234d | No | 9 | 62¢ → 52¢ | $5 | −$1 −16% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Ends in 78d | Yes | 19 | 34¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$2 −30% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 67¢ → 66¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 47¢ → 84¢ | $5 | +$2 +79% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 95d | Yes | 8 | 52¢ → 58¢ | $5 | +$0 +12% |
| Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?Ends in 77d | No | 5 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $4 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 36¢ → 44¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 62¢ → 47¢ | $4 | −$1 −24% |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5 | 52¢ → 85¢ | $4 | +$2 +63% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 37¢ → 28¢ | $4 | −$1 −24% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 180 | 18¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$28 −87% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 6 | 38¢ → 65¢ | $4 | +$2 +70% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.4% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 20¢ → 59¢ | $4 | +$3 +192% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 9 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 10 | 28¢ → 40¢ | $4 | +$1 +41% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.3% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Ends in 434d | Yes | 20 | 63¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$9 −69% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 434d | No | 9 | 45¢ → 43¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 9 | 51¢ → 44¢ | $4 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 10 | 21¢ → 39¢ | $4 | +$2 +83% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | No | 20 | 23¢ → 19¢ | $4 | −$1 −17% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.6% |
