| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,022 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1,850 | +$35 +2.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,357 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $1,119 | −$14 −1.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 974 | 54¢ → 88¢ | $853 | +$327 +62% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 932 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $844 | +$7 +0.8% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 814 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $779 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 721 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $631 | +$52 +9.0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 663 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $629 | +$37 +6.3% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 657 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $621 | +$24 +4.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 612 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $566 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 722 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $516 | +$11 +2.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 520 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $507 | +$5 +1.1% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 623 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $464 | −$13 −2.7% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 540 | 77¢ → 85¢ | $458 | +$42 +10% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 442 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $430 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 711 | 57¢ → 52¢ | $370 | −$32 −8.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 340 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $329 | +$4 +1.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 351 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $328 | +$23 +7.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 366 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $313 | +$10 +3.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 309 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $305 | +$43 +16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 284 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $282 | +$36 +14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 412 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $274 | +$12 +4.5% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 276 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $260 | +$6 +2.3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 258 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $250 | +$2 +1.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 260 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $239 | +$5 +2.2% |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Ends ended | Yes | 237 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $231 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 231 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $230 | +$11 +5.0% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 237 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $229 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 282 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $227 | −$2 −0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 339 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $226 | +$8 +3.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 236 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $216 | −$3 −1.5% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 236 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $214 | +$8 +3.6% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 212 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $207 | +$28 +16% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 1d | No | 198 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $197 | +$9 +5.0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 204 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $191 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 195 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $188 | +$3 +1.6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 212 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $187 | +$25 +15% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 191 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $185 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 191 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $185 | +$14 +8.1% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 193 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $184 | +$1 +0.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 242 | 42¢ → 65¢ | $158 | +$57 +56% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 312 | 51¢ → 50¢ | $155 | −$6 −3.6% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 166 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $149 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 167 | 75¢ → 88¢ | $146 | +$21 +17% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 155 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $144 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 141 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $135 | +$6 +4.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 133 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $125 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 129 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $120 | −$3 −2.1% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 124 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $118 | +$13 +12% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 133 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $118 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 123 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $117 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 118 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $114 | +$9 +8.1% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 119 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $111 | +$4 +3.4% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 145 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $111 | +$2 +2.0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 112 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $108 | +$4 +3.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 133 | 65¢ → 79¢ | $104 | +$18 +21% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 135 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $102 | +$7 +6.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 104 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $101 | +$11 +12% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 129 | 84¢ → 78¢ | $100 | −$8 −7.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d | No | 102 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $97 | +$3 +3.4% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 1d | No | 98 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $96 | +$3 +3.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 102 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $96 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$0 +0.4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 88 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $85 | +$4 +4.8% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 123 | 73¢ → 67¢ | $82 | −$8 −9.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 83 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $81 | +$4 +4.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 92 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $80 | −$2 −2.9% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 93 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $80 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 309 | 30¢ → 26¢ | $79 | −$13 −14% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 80 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $79 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 80 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $77 | +$2 +2.5% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 82 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $77 | +$4 +5.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 84 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $77 | +$7 +9.3% |
| Will Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 89 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $76 | −$3 −3.3% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 77 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $75 | +$5 +7.0% |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 79 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $75 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 83 | 68¢ → 91¢ | $75 | +$19 +34% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 113 | 37¢ → 66¢ | $74 | +$33 +78% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 362 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $73 | −$2 −2.6% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 84 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $72 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 90 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $71 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 53¢ → 68¢ | $68 | +$15 +29% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 73 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $67 | +$4 +6.4% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 71 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $67 | +$4 +5.9% |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 68 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $65 | +$3 +4.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 68 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $63 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 65 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $62 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?Ends in 85d | No | 68 | 95¢ → 92¢ | $62 | −$2 −3.5% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 65 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $62 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 67 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $61 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 62 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $59 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 66 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $59 | +$5 +8.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 79 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $58 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 84 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $58 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 61 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $58 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 77 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $56 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 63 | 93¢ → 89¢ | $55 | −$3 −4.5% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 57 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $55 | +$4 +7.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 71 | 64¢ → 77¢ | $54 | +$9 +19% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 59 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $54 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 76 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $54 | −$0 −0.6% |
