| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Ends in 78d | Yes | 107 | 35¢ → 62¢ | $66 | +$29 +79% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 69¢ → 91¢ | $55 | +$13 +32% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 59¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$18 +61% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 52¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$21 +80% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 36¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$29 +160% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$2 +5.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 50 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $43 | +$8 +22% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?Ends in 342d | Yes | 50 | 67¢ → 64¢ | $32 | −$2 −5.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$5 +37% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Ends in 83d | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 13¢ | $13 | −$7 −34% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +25% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +22% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 46¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$5 +110% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +23% |
| UK Recession in 2026?Ends in 189d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$2 +30% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.7% |
| Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$2 +20% |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +8.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$1 +5.9% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$2 +31% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $9 | −$2 −16% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$3 +40% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 55¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$4 +65% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$2 +29% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$1 +12% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 57¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$3 +55% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$2 +30% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$1 +21% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 62¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$2 +33% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 55¢ → 16¢ | $8 | −$20 −71% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$0 +4.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 69¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$1 +13% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$1 +8.3% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 36¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$4 +110% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | Yes | 10 | 83¢ → 69¢ | $7 | −$1 −17% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $7 | −$0 −0.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 50¢ → 66¢ | $7 | +$2 +34% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 68¢ → 65¢ | $6 | −$0 −5.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 69¢ → 52¢ | $5 | −$2 −25% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +13% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 10 | 29¢ → 44¢ | $4 | +$1 +50% |
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 11¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$2 −35% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 26¢ → 48¢ | $3 | +$1 +83% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 26¢ | $3 | −$5 −64% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 10 | 35¢ → 26¢ | $3 | −$1 −27% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 52¢ → 25¢ | $2 | −$3 −53% |
| Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$1 −24% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 47¢ → 20¢ | $2 | −$3 −57% |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$4 −79% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 43¢ | $1 | −$0 −10% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 32¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$16 −97% |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$5 −95% |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 9¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −97% |
| Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −93% |
| Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended | Yes | 29 | 21¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 41¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −99% |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Arooj Shah win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 188 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 1.6% and 2.4%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 93 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
